Abstract: Hidden failure in a protection system has been
recognized as one of the main reasons which may cause to a power
system instability leading to a system cascading collapse. This paper
presents a computationally systematic approach used to obtain the
estimated average probability of a system cascading collapse by
considering the effect of probability hidden failure in a protection
system. The estimated average probability of a system cascading
collapse is then used to determine the severe loading condition
contributing to the higher risk of critical system cascading collapse.
This information is essential to the system utility since it will assist
the operator to determine the highest point of increased system
loading condition prior to the event of critical system cascading
collapse.
Abstract: Protection system hidden failures have been identified as one of the main causes of system cascading collapse resulting to power system instability. In this paper, a systematic approach is presented in order to identify the probability of a system cascading collapse by taking into consideration the effect of protection system hidden failure. This includes the accurate calculation of the probability of hidden failure as it will provide significant impinge on the findings of the probability of system cascading collapse. The probability of a system cascading collapse is then used to identify the initial tripping of sensitive transmission lines which will contribute to a critical system cascading collapse. Based on the results obtained from this study, it is important to decide on the accurate value of the hidden failure probability as it will affect the probability of a system cascading collapse.