Determination of Severe Loading Condition at Critical System Cascading Collapse Considering the Effect of Protection System Hidden Failure
Hidden failure in a protection system has been
recognized as one of the main reasons which may cause to a power
system instability leading to a system cascading collapse. This paper
presents a computationally systematic approach used to obtain the
estimated average probability of a system cascading collapse by
considering the effect of probability hidden failure in a protection
system. The estimated average probability of a system cascading
collapse is then used to determine the severe loading condition
contributing to the higher risk of critical system cascading collapse.
This information is essential to the system utility since it will assist
the operator to determine the highest point of increased system
loading condition prior to the event of critical system cascading
collapse.
[1] Q. Qiu, "Risk Assessment of Power System Catastrophic Failures and
Hidden Failure Monitoring & Control System," Doctor In Philosophy,
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, 2003.
[2] Thomas L. Baldwin, Magdy S. Tawfik, and M. Mcqueen, "Contingency
Analysis of Cascading Line Outage Events," in Power Systems
Conference 2011, Pp. 1-8.
[3] T. Jingzhe, G. Deqiang, X. Huanhai, and W. Zhen, "Cascading Failure
and Blackout Risk Analysis of AC/DC Power System - The Impact of
AC/DC Interconnection Mode and Capacity Distribution," in 2012 Asia-
Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC), 2012,
Pp. 1-5.
[4] H. Pidd. (2012). India Blackouts Leave 700 Million Without Power.
Available: http://Www.Guardian.Co.Uk/World/2012/Jul/31/India-
Blackout-Electricity-Power-Cuts
[5] M. Vaiman, K. Bell, Y. Chen, B. Chowdhury, I. Dobson, P. Hines, M.
Papic, S. Miller, and P. Zhang, "Risk Assessment of Cascading Outages:
Methodologies and Challenges," IEEE Transactions on Power Systems,
Vol. 27, Pp. 631-641, 2012.
[6] J. M. Ian Dobson, Chen-Ching Liu, "Fast Simulation, Monitoring and
Mitigation of Cascading Failure," Power Systems Engineering Research
Center2010.
[7] K. Yamashita, L. Juan, Z. Pei, and L. Chen-Ching, "Analysis and
Control of Major Blackout Events," In IEEE/PES Power Systems
Conference And Exposition, 2009. Psce '09. , 2009, Pp. 1-4.
[8] K. Janghoon and I. Dobson, "Propagation of Load Shed in Cascading
Line Outages Simulated By OPA," in Complexity in Engineering, 2010.
COMPENG '10., 2010, Pp. 1-6.
[9] I. Dobson, "Estimating The Propagation and Extent of Cascading Line
Outages From Utility Data With a Branching Process," IEEE
Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 27, Pp. 2146-2155, 2012.
[10] I. Dobson, B. A. Carreras, and D. E. Newman, "Branching Process
Models for the Exponentially Increasing Portions of Cascading Failure
Blackouts," in Proceedings of the 38th Annual Hawaii International
Conference on System Sciences, 2005. HICSS '05., 2005, Pp. 64a-64a.
[11] I. Dobson, B. A. Carreras, and D. E. Newman, "A Branching Process
Approximation to Cascading Load-Dependent System Failure," in
Proceedings of the 37th Annual Hawaii International Conference on
System Sciences, 2004., 2004, P. 10 Pp.
[12] I.Dobson;, B.A.Carreras;, V.E.Lynch;, and D.E.Newman, "Complex
Systems Analysis of Series Of Blackouts: Cascading Failure, Critical
Points, and Self-Organization," in Bulk Power System Dynamics and
Control - Vi, 2007, Pp. 438-451.
[13] A. Chegu, L. Fangxing, and X. Xiaokang, "An Overview of the Analysis
of Cascading Failures and High-Order Contingency Events," in 2010
Asia-Pacific Power And Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC),
2010, Pp. 1-5.
[14] R. Pfitzner, K. Turitsyn, and M. Chertkov, "Statistical Classification of
Cascading Failures in Power Grids," in 2011 IEEE Power And Energy
Society General Meeting,, 2011, Pp. 1-8.
[15] K. Bae and J. S. Thorp, "A Stochastic Study of Hidden Failures in
Power System Protection," Decision Support Systems, Vol. 24, Pp. 259-
268, 1999.
[16] L. D. Longyue Zhang, Xianyong Xiao, Chao Ma, Jing Feng, "Risk
Assessment Of Power System Cascading Failure Considering Hidden
Failures and Violation of Temperature," Advanced Materials Research,
Vol. 354 - 355, Pp. 1083-1087, 2012.
[17] Nur Ashida Salim, Muhammad Murtadha Othman, Ismail Musirin, and
M. S. Serwan, "Risk Assessment of Cascading Collapse Considering
The Effect of Hidden Failure," In 2012 IEEE International Conference
on Power and Energy, Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia, 2012, Pp. 772-
777.
[18] Z. Jingjing and D. Ming, "Summary of Research on Hidden Failures in
Protection Systems," in International Conference on Electrical Machines
and Systems, 2008. ICEMS 2008. , 2008, Pp. 870-872.
[19] N. A. Salim, M. M. Othman, I. Musirin, and M. S. Serwan, "Cascading
Collapse Assessment Considering Hidden Failure," in 2011 First
International Conference on Informatics and Computational Intelligence
(ICI), 2011, Pp. 318-323.
[20] W. Sing-Po, A. Chen, L. Chih-Wen, C. Chun-Hung, and J. Shortle,
"Rare-Event Splitting Simulation for Analysis of Power System
Blackouts," in 2011 IEEE Power And Energy Society General Meeting,
2011, Pp. 1-7.
[21] C. Grigg, P. Wong, P. Albrecht, R. Allan, M. Bhavaraju, R. Billinton, Q.
Chen, C. Fong, S. Haddad, S. Kuruganty, W. Li, R. Mukerji, D. Patton,
N. Rau, D. Reppen, A. Schneider, M. Shahidehpour, and C. Singh, "The
IEEE Reliability Test System-1996. A Report Prepared By The
Reliability Test System Task Force of the Application of Probability
Methods Subcommittee," IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol.
14, Pp. 1010-1020, 1999.
[1] Q. Qiu, "Risk Assessment of Power System Catastrophic Failures and
Hidden Failure Monitoring & Control System," Doctor In Philosophy,
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, 2003.
[2] Thomas L. Baldwin, Magdy S. Tawfik, and M. Mcqueen, "Contingency
Analysis of Cascading Line Outage Events," in Power Systems
Conference 2011, Pp. 1-8.
[3] T. Jingzhe, G. Deqiang, X. Huanhai, and W. Zhen, "Cascading Failure
and Blackout Risk Analysis of AC/DC Power System - The Impact of
AC/DC Interconnection Mode and Capacity Distribution," in 2012 Asia-
Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC), 2012,
Pp. 1-5.
[4] H. Pidd. (2012). India Blackouts Leave 700 Million Without Power.
Available: http://Www.Guardian.Co.Uk/World/2012/Jul/31/India-
Blackout-Electricity-Power-Cuts
[5] M. Vaiman, K. Bell, Y. Chen, B. Chowdhury, I. Dobson, P. Hines, M.
Papic, S. Miller, and P. Zhang, "Risk Assessment of Cascading Outages:
Methodologies and Challenges," IEEE Transactions on Power Systems,
Vol. 27, Pp. 631-641, 2012.
[6] J. M. Ian Dobson, Chen-Ching Liu, "Fast Simulation, Monitoring and
Mitigation of Cascading Failure," Power Systems Engineering Research
Center2010.
[7] K. Yamashita, L. Juan, Z. Pei, and L. Chen-Ching, "Analysis and
Control of Major Blackout Events," In IEEE/PES Power Systems
Conference And Exposition, 2009. Psce '09. , 2009, Pp. 1-4.
[8] K. Janghoon and I. Dobson, "Propagation of Load Shed in Cascading
Line Outages Simulated By OPA," in Complexity in Engineering, 2010.
COMPENG '10., 2010, Pp. 1-6.
[9] I. Dobson, "Estimating The Propagation and Extent of Cascading Line
Outages From Utility Data With a Branching Process," IEEE
Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 27, Pp. 2146-2155, 2012.
[10] I. Dobson, B. A. Carreras, and D. E. Newman, "Branching Process
Models for the Exponentially Increasing Portions of Cascading Failure
Blackouts," in Proceedings of the 38th Annual Hawaii International
Conference on System Sciences, 2005. HICSS '05., 2005, Pp. 64a-64a.
[11] I. Dobson, B. A. Carreras, and D. E. Newman, "A Branching Process
Approximation to Cascading Load-Dependent System Failure," in
Proceedings of the 37th Annual Hawaii International Conference on
System Sciences, 2004., 2004, P. 10 Pp.
[12] I.Dobson;, B.A.Carreras;, V.E.Lynch;, and D.E.Newman, "Complex
Systems Analysis of Series Of Blackouts: Cascading Failure, Critical
Points, and Self-Organization," in Bulk Power System Dynamics and
Control - Vi, 2007, Pp. 438-451.
[13] A. Chegu, L. Fangxing, and X. Xiaokang, "An Overview of the Analysis
of Cascading Failures and High-Order Contingency Events," in 2010
Asia-Pacific Power And Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC),
2010, Pp. 1-5.
[14] R. Pfitzner, K. Turitsyn, and M. Chertkov, "Statistical Classification of
Cascading Failures in Power Grids," in 2011 IEEE Power And Energy
Society General Meeting,, 2011, Pp. 1-8.
[15] K. Bae and J. S. Thorp, "A Stochastic Study of Hidden Failures in
Power System Protection," Decision Support Systems, Vol. 24, Pp. 259-
268, 1999.
[16] L. D. Longyue Zhang, Xianyong Xiao, Chao Ma, Jing Feng, "Risk
Assessment Of Power System Cascading Failure Considering Hidden
Failures and Violation of Temperature," Advanced Materials Research,
Vol. 354 - 355, Pp. 1083-1087, 2012.
[17] Nur Ashida Salim, Muhammad Murtadha Othman, Ismail Musirin, and
M. S. Serwan, "Risk Assessment of Cascading Collapse Considering
The Effect of Hidden Failure," In 2012 IEEE International Conference
on Power and Energy, Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia, 2012, Pp. 772-
777.
[18] Z. Jingjing and D. Ming, "Summary of Research on Hidden Failures in
Protection Systems," in International Conference on Electrical Machines
and Systems, 2008. ICEMS 2008. , 2008, Pp. 870-872.
[19] N. A. Salim, M. M. Othman, I. Musirin, and M. S. Serwan, "Cascading
Collapse Assessment Considering Hidden Failure," in 2011 First
International Conference on Informatics and Computational Intelligence
(ICI), 2011, Pp. 318-323.
[20] W. Sing-Po, A. Chen, L. Chih-Wen, C. Chun-Hung, and J. Shortle,
"Rare-Event Splitting Simulation for Analysis of Power System
Blackouts," in 2011 IEEE Power And Energy Society General Meeting,
2011, Pp. 1-7.
[21] C. Grigg, P. Wong, P. Albrecht, R. Allan, M. Bhavaraju, R. Billinton, Q.
Chen, C. Fong, S. Haddad, S. Kuruganty, W. Li, R. Mukerji, D. Patton,
N. Rau, D. Reppen, A. Schneider, M. Shahidehpour, and C. Singh, "The
IEEE Reliability Test System-1996. A Report Prepared By The
Reliability Test System Task Force of the Application of Probability
Methods Subcommittee," IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol.
14, Pp. 1010-1020, 1999.
@article{"International Journal of Information, Control and Computer Sciences:60126", author = "N. A. Salim and M. M. Othman and I. Musirin and M. S. Serwan", title = "Determination of Severe Loading Condition at Critical System Cascading Collapse Considering the Effect of Protection System Hidden Failure", abstract = "Hidden failure in a protection system has been
recognized as one of the main reasons which may cause to a power
system instability leading to a system cascading collapse. This paper
presents a computationally systematic approach used to obtain the
estimated average probability of a system cascading collapse by
considering the effect of probability hidden failure in a protection
system. The estimated average probability of a system cascading
collapse is then used to determine the severe loading condition
contributing to the higher risk of critical system cascading collapse.
This information is essential to the system utility since it will assist
the operator to determine the highest point of increased system
loading condition prior to the event of critical system cascading
collapse.", keywords = "Critical system cascading collapse, protection
system hidden failure, severe loading condition.", volume = "7", number = "5", pages = "648-4", }