The Framework of Termination Mechanism in Modern Emergency Management
Termination Mechanism is an indispensible part of the
emergency management mechanism. Despite of its importance in both
theory and practice, it is almost a brand new field for researching. The
concept of termination mechanism is proposed firstly in this paper,
and the design and implementation which are helpful to guarantee the
effect and integrity of emergency management are discussed secondly.
Starting with introduction of the problems caused by absent
termination and incorrect termination, the essence of termination
mechanism is analyzed, a model based on Optimal Stopping Theory is
constructed and the termination index is given. The model could be
applied to find the best termination time point.. Termination decision
should not only be concerned in termination stage, but also in the
whole emergency management process, which makes it a dynamic
decision making process. Besides, the main subjects and the procedure
of termination are illustrated after the termination time point is given.
Some future works are discussed lastly.
[1] Chen An, Chen Ning, Ni Huihui, etc. Modern Emergency Management
Theory and Method, Science Press, Beijing, China, 2009 (in Chinese)
[2] Jeffrey N. Younggren, Michael C. Gottlieb. Termination and
Abandonment: History, Risk, and Risk Management. Professional
Psychology: Research and Practice, 2008, 39(5), pp498-504
[3] Bal Raj Sehgal. Stabilization and termination of severe accidents in
LWRs. Nuclear Engineering and Design, 2006, 236(19-21), pp1941-1952
[4] An Chen, Jingjing Qi, Ning Chen, Mechanism System Framework of
Emergency Management, Proceedings of the Fourth International
Conference of Management and Industrial Engineering (ICMIE2009),
Management in the Worldwide Contemporary Challenges, Niculescu
Press , Nov. 5-6, 2009, pp124-133
[5] I.M. Dokas, D.A. Karras, D.C. Panagiotakopoulos, Fault Tree Analysis
and Fuzzy Expert Systems: Early Warning and Emergency Response of
Landfill Operations, Environmental Modeling & Software, Volume 24,
Issue 1, January 2009, pp8-25
[6] Aidong Yang, Ming L. Lu. A Formulation of the Collaboration
Mechanism for Integrated Abnormal Situation Management, Computers
& Chemical Engineering, 2000, 24(2-7), pp539-544
[7] Becky Hill. Diagnosing Coordination Problems in the Emergency
Management Response to Disasters, Interacting with Computers,
November 2009
[8] Iman Karimi, Eyke H├╝llermeier. Risk Assessment System of Natural
Hazards: A new Approach based on Fuzzy Probability. Fuzzy Sets and
Systems, Volume 158, Issue 9, 1 May 2007, pp 987-999
[9] David J. Mendonça, William A. Wallace. A Cognitive Model of
Improvisation in Emergency Management, IEEE Transactions on
Systems, Man, and Cybernetics Part A: Systems and Humans, 2007,
37(4), pp547-561
[10] Michael Ludkovski, A Simulation Approach to Optimal Stopping under
Partial Information, Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 119
(2009), pp4061-4087
[11] C.V. Nikolopoulos, A.N. Yannacopoulos, A Model for Optimal Stopping
in Advertisement, Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications, 24
February 2009 (In Press, Available online)
[12] Alex Szimayer, Ross A. Maller, Finite Approximation Schemes for Lévy
Processes, and their Application to Optimal Stopping Problems,
Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 117 (2007), pp1422-1447
[13] Alfred M├╝ller, Expected Utility Maximization of Optimal Stopping
Problems, European Journal of Operational Research, 122 (2000),
pp101-114
[14] Li Minglu, Chen An. A Web Mining Based Measurement and Monitoring
Model of Urban Mass Panic in Emergency Management, Fifth
International Conference on Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery
(FSKD2008), IEEE computer society, pp366-370
[15] Y. M. Jin, Optimal Stopping Theory and Application, Press of National
University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China, 1995 (in Chinese)
[16] Avinash K. Dixit, Optimization in Economic Theory, Oxford University
Press, London, 1976
[1] Chen An, Chen Ning, Ni Huihui, etc. Modern Emergency Management
Theory and Method, Science Press, Beijing, China, 2009 (in Chinese)
[2] Jeffrey N. Younggren, Michael C. Gottlieb. Termination and
Abandonment: History, Risk, and Risk Management. Professional
Psychology: Research and Practice, 2008, 39(5), pp498-504
[3] Bal Raj Sehgal. Stabilization and termination of severe accidents in
LWRs. Nuclear Engineering and Design, 2006, 236(19-21), pp1941-1952
[4] An Chen, Jingjing Qi, Ning Chen, Mechanism System Framework of
Emergency Management, Proceedings of the Fourth International
Conference of Management and Industrial Engineering (ICMIE2009),
Management in the Worldwide Contemporary Challenges, Niculescu
Press , Nov. 5-6, 2009, pp124-133
[5] I.M. Dokas, D.A. Karras, D.C. Panagiotakopoulos, Fault Tree Analysis
and Fuzzy Expert Systems: Early Warning and Emergency Response of
Landfill Operations, Environmental Modeling & Software, Volume 24,
Issue 1, January 2009, pp8-25
[6] Aidong Yang, Ming L. Lu. A Formulation of the Collaboration
Mechanism for Integrated Abnormal Situation Management, Computers
& Chemical Engineering, 2000, 24(2-7), pp539-544
[7] Becky Hill. Diagnosing Coordination Problems in the Emergency
Management Response to Disasters, Interacting with Computers,
November 2009
[8] Iman Karimi, Eyke H├╝llermeier. Risk Assessment System of Natural
Hazards: A new Approach based on Fuzzy Probability. Fuzzy Sets and
Systems, Volume 158, Issue 9, 1 May 2007, pp 987-999
[9] David J. Mendonça, William A. Wallace. A Cognitive Model of
Improvisation in Emergency Management, IEEE Transactions on
Systems, Man, and Cybernetics Part A: Systems and Humans, 2007,
37(4), pp547-561
[10] Michael Ludkovski, A Simulation Approach to Optimal Stopping under
Partial Information, Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 119
(2009), pp4061-4087
[11] C.V. Nikolopoulos, A.N. Yannacopoulos, A Model for Optimal Stopping
in Advertisement, Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications, 24
February 2009 (In Press, Available online)
[12] Alex Szimayer, Ross A. Maller, Finite Approximation Schemes for Lévy
Processes, and their Application to Optimal Stopping Problems,
Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 117 (2007), pp1422-1447
[13] Alfred M├╝ller, Expected Utility Maximization of Optimal Stopping
Problems, European Journal of Operational Research, 122 (2000),
pp101-114
[14] Li Minglu, Chen An. A Web Mining Based Measurement and Monitoring
Model of Urban Mass Panic in Emergency Management, Fifth
International Conference on Fuzzy Systems and Knowledge Discovery
(FSKD2008), IEEE computer society, pp366-370
[15] Y. M. Jin, Optimal Stopping Theory and Application, Press of National
University of Defense Technology, Changsha, China, 1995 (in Chinese)
[16] Avinash K. Dixit, Optimization in Economic Theory, Oxford University
Press, London, 1976
@article{"International Journal of Business, Human and Social Sciences:56084", author = "Yannan Wu and An Chen and Yan Zhao", title = "The Framework of Termination Mechanism in Modern Emergency Management", abstract = "Termination Mechanism is an indispensible part of the
emergency management mechanism. Despite of its importance in both
theory and practice, it is almost a brand new field for researching. The
concept of termination mechanism is proposed firstly in this paper,
and the design and implementation which are helpful to guarantee the
effect and integrity of emergency management are discussed secondly.
Starting with introduction of the problems caused by absent
termination and incorrect termination, the essence of termination
mechanism is analyzed, a model based on Optimal Stopping Theory is
constructed and the termination index is given. The model could be
applied to find the best termination time point.. Termination decision
should not only be concerned in termination stage, but also in the
whole emergency management process, which makes it a dynamic
decision making process. Besides, the main subjects and the procedure
of termination are illustrated after the termination time point is given.
Some future works are discussed lastly.", keywords = "Emergency management, Termination Mechanism,Optimal Termination Model, Decision Making, Optimal StoppingTheory.", volume = "4", number = "6", pages = "942-7", }
