The Discriminate Analysis and Relevant Model for Mapping Export Potential
There are pending discussions over the mapping of
country export potential in order to refocus export strategy of firms
and its evidence-based promotion by the Export Credit Agencies
(ECAs) and other permitted vehicles of governments.
In this paper we develop our version of an applied model that
offers “stepwise” elimination of unattractive markets. We modify and
calibrate the model for the particular features of the Czech Republic
and specific pilot cases where we apply an individual approach to
each sector.
[1] Comtrade. 2006-2010. Comtrade Database. United Nations Commodity
Trade Statistics Database.
[2] G. Lafay, “The Measurement of Revealed Comparative
Advantages in MG Dagenais and P. A. Muet (eds.).” International
Trade Modelling, London: Chapman & Hall, 1992.
[3] IMF. 2006-2013. Data and Statistics, International Monetary Fund
[4] L. Cuyvers,P. DePelsmacker,G. Rayp, I.T.M. Roozen.“A decision
support model for the planning and assessment of export promotion
activities by government export promotion institutions—the Belgian
case”. International Journal of Research in Marketing. vol.12, 1995 no.
2, pp. 173-186.
[5] L.Cuyvers, “Export opportunities of Thailand: Export Decision
support model approach” Journal of Euro-Asian management. vol. l2, 1996,no.2,pp.71-96.
[6] L.Cuyvers, “Identifying export opportunities: the case of
Thailand.”International MarketingReview.vol.21no.3,2004, pp.255-
278.
[7] L.Cuyvers, R. Rossouw, E. Steenkamp, W. Viviers, “Export Market
Selection Methods and the Identification of Realistic Export
Opportunities for South Africa Using a Export Decision Support
Model”, Working Paper Series2009-03]. Trade&IndustrialPolicy
Strategies, 2009.
[8] L.Cuyvers, J.Pearson, W.Viviers, “Identifying export opportunities
The case of South Africa.”International Business Review. 2010,
vol. 19, no. 4, pp. 345-359.
[9] L.Cuyvers, E. Steenkamp, W. Viviers, “Thailand’s export
opportunities and export potentials in ASEAN+3 : a Decision
Support Model approach’’, CAS Discussion paper No 83, 2012
[10] OEC. 2012. Economic Complexity Index. The Observatory of
Economic Complexity.
[11] OECD. 2014. Country Risk Classification. Organization for
Economic Co-operation and Development
[12] Office National Du Ducroire. 2014. Country risks
[13] M.Urban, M.Mejstrik, J.G.Chvalkovska, “Application of the
decision support model to Czech exports”, Acta Oeconomica
Pragensia, 2014
[14] World Bank. 2013. Ease of doing business indicator. World Bank.
www.doingbusiness.org/rankings.
[15] WTO – OECD. 2013. Trade in Value Added, World Trade
Organization and OECD joint initiative.
[16] EEIP. 2014.
http://www.eeip.cz/mapa_exportera/mapa_exportera.html
[1] Comtrade. 2006-2010. Comtrade Database. United Nations Commodity
Trade Statistics Database.
[2] G. Lafay, “The Measurement of Revealed Comparative
Advantages in MG Dagenais and P. A. Muet (eds.).” International
Trade Modelling, London: Chapman & Hall, 1992.
[3] IMF. 2006-2013. Data and Statistics, International Monetary Fund
[4] L. Cuyvers,P. DePelsmacker,G. Rayp, I.T.M. Roozen.“A decision
support model for the planning and assessment of export promotion
activities by government export promotion institutions—the Belgian
case”. International Journal of Research in Marketing. vol.12, 1995 no.
2, pp. 173-186.
[5] L.Cuyvers, “Export opportunities of Thailand: Export Decision
support model approach” Journal of Euro-Asian management. vol. l2, 1996,no.2,pp.71-96.
[6] L.Cuyvers, “Identifying export opportunities: the case of
Thailand.”International MarketingReview.vol.21no.3,2004, pp.255-
278.
[7] L.Cuyvers, R. Rossouw, E. Steenkamp, W. Viviers, “Export Market
Selection Methods and the Identification of Realistic Export
Opportunities for South Africa Using a Export Decision Support
Model”, Working Paper Series2009-03]. Trade&IndustrialPolicy
Strategies, 2009.
[8] L.Cuyvers, J.Pearson, W.Viviers, “Identifying export opportunities
The case of South Africa.”International Business Review. 2010,
vol. 19, no. 4, pp. 345-359.
[9] L.Cuyvers, E. Steenkamp, W. Viviers, “Thailand’s export
opportunities and export potentials in ASEAN+3 : a Decision
Support Model approach’’, CAS Discussion paper No 83, 2012
[10] OEC. 2012. Economic Complexity Index. The Observatory of
Economic Complexity.
[11] OECD. 2014. Country Risk Classification. Organization for
Economic Co-operation and Development
[12] Office National Du Ducroire. 2014. Country risks
[13] M.Urban, M.Mejstrik, J.G.Chvalkovska, “Application of the
decision support model to Czech exports”, Acta Oeconomica
Pragensia, 2014
[14] World Bank. 2013. Ease of doing business indicator. World Bank.
www.doingbusiness.org/rankings.
[15] WTO – OECD. 2013. Trade in Value Added, World Trade
Organization and OECD joint initiative.
[16] EEIP. 2014.
http://www.eeip.cz/mapa_exportera/mapa_exportera.html
@article{"International Journal of Business, Human and Social Sciences:68472", author = "Jana Gutierrez Chvalkovská and Michal Mejstřík and Matěj Urban", title = "The Discriminate Analysis and Relevant Model for Mapping Export Potential", abstract = "There are pending discussions over the mapping of
country export potential in order to refocus export strategy of firms
and its evidence-based promotion by the Export Credit Agencies
(ECAs) and other permitted vehicles of governments.
In this paper we develop our version of an applied model that
offers “stepwise” elimination of unattractive markets. We modify and
calibrate the model for the particular features of the Czech Republic
and specific pilot cases where we apply an individual approach to
each sector.
", keywords = "Export strategy, Modeling export, Calibration,
Export promotion.", volume = "8", number = "10", pages = "3357-5", }
