Decision Support for the Selection of Electric Power Plants Generated from Renewable Sources
Decision support based upon risk analysis into
comparison of the electricity generation from different renewable
energy technologies can provide information about their effects on
the environment and society. The aim of this paper is to develop the
assessment framework regarding risks to health and environment,
and the society-s benefits of the electric power plant generation from
different renewable sources. The multicriteria framework to
multiattribute risk analysis technique and the decision analysis
interview technique are applied in order to support the decisionmaking
process for the implementing renewable energy projects to
the Bangkok case study. Having analyses the local conditions and
appropriate technologies, five renewable power plants are postulated
as options. As this work demonstrates, the analysis can provide a tool
to aid decision-makers for achieving targets related to promote
sustainable energy system.
[1] Thailand Research Fund (TRF). "Research Policy to Promote Renewable
Energy and Energy Efficiency in Thailand," Final Research Report,
Bangkok, Thailand, 2007.
[2] B. A. Akash, R. Mamlook, and M. S. Mohsen, "Multi-criteria selection
of electric power plants using analytical hierarchy process," Electric
Power Systems Research, vol. 52, 1999, pp. 29-35.
[3] Department of Alternative Energy Development and Efficiency (DEDE).
"Thailand Alternative Energy Situation 2003," Ministry of Energy,
Bangkok, Thailand, 2003.
[4] S. Prasertsan, and B. Sajjakulnukit, "Biomass and biogas energy in
Thailand: Potential, opportunity and barriers," Renewable Energy, vol.
31, 2006, pp. 599-610.
[5] S. Udomsri, A. Martin, and T. Fransson, "Municipal Solid Waste
Management and Waste to Energy Alternatives in Thailand," In
Proceedings of the International Conference of Waste and Thermal
Treatment (WasteEng05), Albi, France, 2005.
[6] R. P. Hämäläinen, and R. Karjalainen, "Decision support for risk
analysis in energy policy," European Journal of Operations Research,
vol. 56, no. 2, 1992, pp. 172-183.
[7] R. P. Hämäläinen, "Computer assisted energy policy analysis in the
parliament of Finland," Interfaces, vol. 18, no. 4, 1998, pp. 12-23.
[8] G. E. Apostolakis, and S. E. Pickett, "Deliberation: Integrating analytical
results into environmental decisions involving multiple stakeholders,"
Risk Analysis, vol. 18, no. 5, 1998, pp. 621-634.
[9] R. P. Hämäläinen, M. R. K. Lindstedt, and K. Sinkko, "Multiattribute
Risk Analysis in Nuclear Emergency Management," Risk Analysis, vol.
20, no. 4, 2000, pp. 455-467.
[10] R.L. Keeney, "Decision analysis: An overview," Operations Research,
vol. 30, no. 5, 1982, pp. 803-837.
[11] S. French, Decision theory: An introduction to the mathematics of
rationality, West Sussex, Ellis Horwood, UK, 1986.
[12] D. von Winterfeldt, and W. Edwards, Decision analysis and behavioural
research, Cambridge University Press, New York, 1996.
[13] R. L. Keeney, and H, Raiffa, Decisions with multiple objectives:
preferences and value trade-offs, Cambridge University Press, New
York, 1993.
[14] R. T. Clemen, Making hard decisions: An introduction to decision
analysis, Pacific Grove, CA, Duxbury Press, 1996.
[15] R. P. Hämäläinen, and T. O. Seppäläinen, "The Analytic Network
Process in Energy Policy Planning," Socio-Econ. Sci., vol. 20, no.6,
1986, pp. 399-405.
[16] K. Kim, K. Park, and S. Seo, "A matrix approach for
telecommunications technology selection," Comput Ind Eng, vol. 33,
no.3, 1997, pp. 833-836.
[17] T. L. Saaty, "Fundamentals of the analytic network process," Proc.
ISAHP Conf., Kobe, Japan, 1999.
[18] S. Mishara, S. G. Deshmukh, and P. Vrat, "Matching of technological
forecasting technique to a technology," Technol Forecast Soc Change,
vol. 69, 2002, pp. 1-27.
[19] J. A. Momoh, and J. Z. Zhu, "Application of AHP/ANP to unit
commitment in the deregulated power industry," in IEEE International
Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, vol. 1, San Diego, 1998,
pp. 817-822.
[20] T. L. Saaty, Fundamentals of decision making and priority theory with
the analytic hierarchy process, AHP series, vol. VI. RWS Publications,
2000.
[21] J. W. Lee, and S. H. Kim, "Using analytic network process and goal
programming for interdependent information system project selection,"
Comput Oper Res, vol. 27, 2000, pp. 367-382.
[22] L. M. Meade, and A. Presley, "R&D project selection using the analytic
network process," IEEE Trans Eng Manage, vol. 49, no. 1, 1997, pp. 59-
66.
[23] A. Presley, and L. Meade, "Strategic alignment and IT investment
selection using the analytic network process," in Proc. ACIS-99,
Milwaukee, 1999, pp. 411-413.
[24] A. Salo, and R. P. Hämäläinen, "On the measurement of preferences in
the analytic hierarchy process," Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision
Analysis, vol. 6, 1997, pp. 309-319.
[25] S. Erdogmus, H. Aras, and E. Koc, "Evaluation of alternative fuels for
residential heating in Turkey using analytic network process (ANP) with
group decision-making," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews,
vol. 10, 2006, pp. 269-279.
[26] J. Mustajoki, and R. P. Hämäläinen, "Web-HIPRE: Global Decision
Support by Value Tree and AHP Analysis," INFOR, vol. 30, no. 3, 2000,
pp. 208-220.
[27] R. P. Hämäläinen, "Decisionarium - Aiding Decisions, Negotiating and
Collecting Opinions on the Web," Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision
Analysis, vol. 12, 2003, pp. 101-110.
[28] J. Mustajoki, R. P. Hämäläinen, and M. Marttunen, "Participatory
multicriteria decision analysis with Web-HIPRE: a case of lake
regulation policy," Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 19,
2004, pp. 537-547.
[1] Thailand Research Fund (TRF). "Research Policy to Promote Renewable
Energy and Energy Efficiency in Thailand," Final Research Report,
Bangkok, Thailand, 2007.
[2] B. A. Akash, R. Mamlook, and M. S. Mohsen, "Multi-criteria selection
of electric power plants using analytical hierarchy process," Electric
Power Systems Research, vol. 52, 1999, pp. 29-35.
[3] Department of Alternative Energy Development and Efficiency (DEDE).
"Thailand Alternative Energy Situation 2003," Ministry of Energy,
Bangkok, Thailand, 2003.
[4] S. Prasertsan, and B. Sajjakulnukit, "Biomass and biogas energy in
Thailand: Potential, opportunity and barriers," Renewable Energy, vol.
31, 2006, pp. 599-610.
[5] S. Udomsri, A. Martin, and T. Fransson, "Municipal Solid Waste
Management and Waste to Energy Alternatives in Thailand," In
Proceedings of the International Conference of Waste and Thermal
Treatment (WasteEng05), Albi, France, 2005.
[6] R. P. Hämäläinen, and R. Karjalainen, "Decision support for risk
analysis in energy policy," European Journal of Operations Research,
vol. 56, no. 2, 1992, pp. 172-183.
[7] R. P. Hämäläinen, "Computer assisted energy policy analysis in the
parliament of Finland," Interfaces, vol. 18, no. 4, 1998, pp. 12-23.
[8] G. E. Apostolakis, and S. E. Pickett, "Deliberation: Integrating analytical
results into environmental decisions involving multiple stakeholders,"
Risk Analysis, vol. 18, no. 5, 1998, pp. 621-634.
[9] R. P. Hämäläinen, M. R. K. Lindstedt, and K. Sinkko, "Multiattribute
Risk Analysis in Nuclear Emergency Management," Risk Analysis, vol.
20, no. 4, 2000, pp. 455-467.
[10] R.L. Keeney, "Decision analysis: An overview," Operations Research,
vol. 30, no. 5, 1982, pp. 803-837.
[11] S. French, Decision theory: An introduction to the mathematics of
rationality, West Sussex, Ellis Horwood, UK, 1986.
[12] D. von Winterfeldt, and W. Edwards, Decision analysis and behavioural
research, Cambridge University Press, New York, 1996.
[13] R. L. Keeney, and H, Raiffa, Decisions with multiple objectives:
preferences and value trade-offs, Cambridge University Press, New
York, 1993.
[14] R. T. Clemen, Making hard decisions: An introduction to decision
analysis, Pacific Grove, CA, Duxbury Press, 1996.
[15] R. P. Hämäläinen, and T. O. Seppäläinen, "The Analytic Network
Process in Energy Policy Planning," Socio-Econ. Sci., vol. 20, no.6,
1986, pp. 399-405.
[16] K. Kim, K. Park, and S. Seo, "A matrix approach for
telecommunications technology selection," Comput Ind Eng, vol. 33,
no.3, 1997, pp. 833-836.
[17] T. L. Saaty, "Fundamentals of the analytic network process," Proc.
ISAHP Conf., Kobe, Japan, 1999.
[18] S. Mishara, S. G. Deshmukh, and P. Vrat, "Matching of technological
forecasting technique to a technology," Technol Forecast Soc Change,
vol. 69, 2002, pp. 1-27.
[19] J. A. Momoh, and J. Z. Zhu, "Application of AHP/ANP to unit
commitment in the deregulated power industry," in IEEE International
Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, vol. 1, San Diego, 1998,
pp. 817-822.
[20] T. L. Saaty, Fundamentals of decision making and priority theory with
the analytic hierarchy process, AHP series, vol. VI. RWS Publications,
2000.
[21] J. W. Lee, and S. H. Kim, "Using analytic network process and goal
programming for interdependent information system project selection,"
Comput Oper Res, vol. 27, 2000, pp. 367-382.
[22] L. M. Meade, and A. Presley, "R&D project selection using the analytic
network process," IEEE Trans Eng Manage, vol. 49, no. 1, 1997, pp. 59-
66.
[23] A. Presley, and L. Meade, "Strategic alignment and IT investment
selection using the analytic network process," in Proc. ACIS-99,
Milwaukee, 1999, pp. 411-413.
[24] A. Salo, and R. P. Hämäläinen, "On the measurement of preferences in
the analytic hierarchy process," Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision
Analysis, vol. 6, 1997, pp. 309-319.
[25] S. Erdogmus, H. Aras, and E. Koc, "Evaluation of alternative fuels for
residential heating in Turkey using analytic network process (ANP) with
group decision-making," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews,
vol. 10, 2006, pp. 269-279.
[26] J. Mustajoki, and R. P. Hämäläinen, "Web-HIPRE: Global Decision
Support by Value Tree and AHP Analysis," INFOR, vol. 30, no. 3, 2000,
pp. 208-220.
[27] R. P. Hämäläinen, "Decisionarium - Aiding Decisions, Negotiating and
Collecting Opinions on the Web," Journal of Multi-Criteria Decision
Analysis, vol. 12, 2003, pp. 101-110.
[28] J. Mustajoki, R. P. Hämäläinen, and M. Marttunen, "Participatory
multicriteria decision analysis with Web-HIPRE: a case of lake
regulation policy," Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 19,
2004, pp. 537-547.
@article{"International Journal of Electrical, Electronic and Communication Sciences:57731", author = "Aumnad Phdungsilp and Teeradej Wuttipornpun", title = "Decision Support for the Selection of Electric Power Plants Generated from Renewable Sources", abstract = "Decision support based upon risk analysis into
comparison of the electricity generation from different renewable
energy technologies can provide information about their effects on
the environment and society. The aim of this paper is to develop the
assessment framework regarding risks to health and environment,
and the society-s benefits of the electric power plant generation from
different renewable sources. The multicriteria framework to
multiattribute risk analysis technique and the decision analysis
interview technique are applied in order to support the decisionmaking
process for the implementing renewable energy projects to
the Bangkok case study. Having analyses the local conditions and
appropriate technologies, five renewable power plants are postulated
as options. As this work demonstrates, the analysis can provide a tool
to aid decision-makers for achieving targets related to promote
sustainable energy system.", keywords = "Analytic Hierarchy Process, Bangkok, MultiattributeRisk Analysis, Renewable Energy Technology.", volume = "5", number = "3", pages = "384-6", }
