The main objective of this paper is to estimate the cost of road traffic accidents in Egypt. The Human Capital (HC) approach, specifically the Gross-Loss-of-Output methodology, is adopted for estimation. Moreover, cost values obtained by previous national literature are updated using the inflation rates. The results indicate an estimated cost of road traffic accidents in Egypt of approximately 10 billion Egyptian Pounds (about $US 1.8 billion) for the year 2008. In addition, it is expected that this cost will rise in 2009 to 11.8 billion Egyptian Pounds (about $US 2.1 billion).
[1] A. Downing, "Accident Costs in Indonesia: A Review", Paper Presented
at the International Conference on Road Safety, Andhra University,
Visakhapatnam, India, 1997.
[2] Asian Development Bank, "Road accident costing", in Road Safety
Guidelines for the Asian and Pacific Region, Asian Development Bank,
2003, Retrieved May 6, 2009, from http://www.adb.org/Documents/
Books/Road-Safety-Guidelines/chap4-14.pdf
[3] Central Traffic Department, "Analyzing Road Traffic Accidents" (in
Arabic), Academy of Scientific Research and Technology, Egypt, 1991.
[4] D. Mohan, "Social Cost of Road Traffic Crashes in India", in Proc. 1st
Safe Community Conf. on Cost of Injury, Viborg, Denmark, 2002.
[5] Department of Highways, "The Study of Traffic Accident Cost in
Thailand: Final Report", Sept. 2007, Retrieved May 6, 2009, from
http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTTHAILAND/Resources/333200-
1177475763598/Sept07-traffic_accident-full-report.pdf
[6] E. M. Ibrahim, "Road Traffic Accidents in Egypt: A Spatial Security
Study" (in Arabic), Arab Journal for Security Studies and Training, vol.
23, no. 46, pp. 301-357, 2008.
[7] Economics Circle, "RHD Road User Cost Annual Report for 2000 -
2001", Roads and Highways Department, Ministry of Communications,
Government of the People-s Republic of Bangladesh, Dhaka, 2001.
[8] G. D. Jacobs, "Costing Road Accidents in Developing Countries", in
Proc. 8th Road Engineering Association of Asia and Australasia
(REAAA) Conf., Taipei, Taiwan, 1995.
[9] G. Jacobs, A. Aeron-Thomas, and A. Astrop, "Estimating Global Road
Fatalities", TRL Report 445, Transport Research Laboratory,
Crowthorne, 2000.
[10] H. R. Al-Masaeid, A. A. Al-Mashakbeh, and A. M. Qudah, "Economic
costs of traffic accidents in Jordan", Accident Analysis and Prevention,
vol. 31, no. 4, pp. 347-357, July 1999.
[11] M. De Leon, P. Cal, and R. Sigua, "Estimation of Socio-Economic Cost
of Road Accidents in Metro Manila", Journal of the Eastern Asia
Society for Transportation Studies, vol. 6, pp. 3183-3198, Sept. 2005.
[12] M. S. Aly, and K. A. El-Araby, "Valuation of traffic accidents in Egypt",
in Proc. Road Safety in Europe and Strategic Highway Research
Program (SHRP) Conf., Prague, the Czech Republic, 1995, pp. 101-110.
[13] National Democratic Party, "Party Positions and Visions: The Draft Law
of Amending Some Terms of the Traffic Law No.66 for the Year 1973"
(in Arabic), National Democratic Party, Egypt, 2008.
[14] National Institute of Transport, "The Impact of Trucks' Movement on
Safety Levels on Main Roads in Egypt" (in Arabic), Ministry of
Transport, Egypt, 2007.
[15] R. Elvik, "An Analysis of Official Economic Valuations of Traffic
Accident Fatalities in 20 Motorized Countries", Accident Analysis and
Prevention, vol. 27, no. 2, pp. 237-247, April 1995.
[16] Ross Silcock, and Transport Research Laboratory (TRL), "Guidelines
for Estimating the Cost of Road Crashes in Developing Countries: Final
Report", Project R7780, Department for International Development,
2003.
[17] T. Risbey, H. De Silva, and A. Tong, "Road Crash Cost Estimation: A
Proposal Incorporating a Decade of Conceptual and Empirical
Developments", in 30th Australasian Transport Research Forum,
Melbourne, Australia, 2007.
[18] T. T. Anh, N. X. Dao, and T. T. Anh, "The cost of road traffic accident
in Vietnam", Proceedings of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation
Studies, vol. 5, pp. 1923-1933, 2005.
[19] World Health Organization, "World Report on Road Traffic Injury
Prevention", Edited by Margie Peden (et al.), World Health
Organization, Geneva, 2004.
[20] World Health Organization, "Global Status Report on Road Safety: Time
for Action", World Health Organization, Geneva, 2009.
[1] A. Downing, "Accident Costs in Indonesia: A Review", Paper Presented
at the International Conference on Road Safety, Andhra University,
Visakhapatnam, India, 1997.
[2] Asian Development Bank, "Road accident costing", in Road Safety
Guidelines for the Asian and Pacific Region, Asian Development Bank,
2003, Retrieved May 6, 2009, from http://www.adb.org/Documents/
Books/Road-Safety-Guidelines/chap4-14.pdf
[3] Central Traffic Department, "Analyzing Road Traffic Accidents" (in
Arabic), Academy of Scientific Research and Technology, Egypt, 1991.
[4] D. Mohan, "Social Cost of Road Traffic Crashes in India", in Proc. 1st
Safe Community Conf. on Cost of Injury, Viborg, Denmark, 2002.
[5] Department of Highways, "The Study of Traffic Accident Cost in
Thailand: Final Report", Sept. 2007, Retrieved May 6, 2009, from
http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTTHAILAND/Resources/333200-
1177475763598/Sept07-traffic_accident-full-report.pdf
[6] E. M. Ibrahim, "Road Traffic Accidents in Egypt: A Spatial Security
Study" (in Arabic), Arab Journal for Security Studies and Training, vol.
23, no. 46, pp. 301-357, 2008.
[7] Economics Circle, "RHD Road User Cost Annual Report for 2000 -
2001", Roads and Highways Department, Ministry of Communications,
Government of the People-s Republic of Bangladesh, Dhaka, 2001.
[8] G. D. Jacobs, "Costing Road Accidents in Developing Countries", in
Proc. 8th Road Engineering Association of Asia and Australasia
(REAAA) Conf., Taipei, Taiwan, 1995.
[9] G. Jacobs, A. Aeron-Thomas, and A. Astrop, "Estimating Global Road
Fatalities", TRL Report 445, Transport Research Laboratory,
Crowthorne, 2000.
[10] H. R. Al-Masaeid, A. A. Al-Mashakbeh, and A. M. Qudah, "Economic
costs of traffic accidents in Jordan", Accident Analysis and Prevention,
vol. 31, no. 4, pp. 347-357, July 1999.
[11] M. De Leon, P. Cal, and R. Sigua, "Estimation of Socio-Economic Cost
of Road Accidents in Metro Manila", Journal of the Eastern Asia
Society for Transportation Studies, vol. 6, pp. 3183-3198, Sept. 2005.
[12] M. S. Aly, and K. A. El-Araby, "Valuation of traffic accidents in Egypt",
in Proc. Road Safety in Europe and Strategic Highway Research
Program (SHRP) Conf., Prague, the Czech Republic, 1995, pp. 101-110.
[13] National Democratic Party, "Party Positions and Visions: The Draft Law
of Amending Some Terms of the Traffic Law No.66 for the Year 1973"
(in Arabic), National Democratic Party, Egypt, 2008.
[14] National Institute of Transport, "The Impact of Trucks' Movement on
Safety Levels on Main Roads in Egypt" (in Arabic), Ministry of
Transport, Egypt, 2007.
[15] R. Elvik, "An Analysis of Official Economic Valuations of Traffic
Accident Fatalities in 20 Motorized Countries", Accident Analysis and
Prevention, vol. 27, no. 2, pp. 237-247, April 1995.
[16] Ross Silcock, and Transport Research Laboratory (TRL), "Guidelines
for Estimating the Cost of Road Crashes in Developing Countries: Final
Report", Project R7780, Department for International Development,
2003.
[17] T. Risbey, H. De Silva, and A. Tong, "Road Crash Cost Estimation: A
Proposal Incorporating a Decade of Conceptual and Empirical
Developments", in 30th Australasian Transport Research Forum,
Melbourne, Australia, 2007.
[18] T. T. Anh, N. X. Dao, and T. T. Anh, "The cost of road traffic accident
in Vietnam", Proceedings of the Eastern Asia Society for Transportation
Studies, vol. 5, pp. 1923-1933, 2005.
[19] World Health Organization, "World Report on Road Traffic Injury
Prevention", Edited by Margie Peden (et al.), World Health
Organization, Geneva, 2004.
[20] World Health Organization, "Global Status Report on Road Safety: Time
for Action", World Health Organization, Geneva, 2009.
@article{"International Journal of Business, Human and Social Sciences:60815", author = "Mohamed A. Ismail and Samar M. M. Abdelmageed", title = "Cost of Road Traffic Accidents in Egypt", abstract = "The main objective of this paper is to estimate the cost of road traffic accidents in Egypt. The Human Capital (HC) approach, specifically the Gross-Loss-of-Output methodology, is adopted for estimation. Moreover, cost values obtained by previous national literature are updated using the inflation rates. The results indicate an estimated cost of road traffic accidents in Egypt of approximately 10 billion Egyptian Pounds (about $US 1.8 billion) for the year 2008. In addition, it is expected that this cost will rise in 2009 to 11.8 billion Egyptian Pounds (about $US 2.1 billion).
", keywords = "Cost, Gross-Loss-of-Output, Human CapitalApproach, Road Traffic Accidents.", volume = "4", number = "6", pages = "1304-7", }
