Classification of Earthquake Distribution in the Banda Sea Collision Zone with Point Process Approach
Banda Sea Collision Zone (BSCZ) is the result of the
interaction and convergence of Indo-Australian plate, Eurasian plate
and Pacific plate. This location is located in eastern Indonesia. This
zone has a very high seismic activity. In this research, we will
calculate the rate (λ) and Mean Square Error (MSE). By this result,
we will classification earthquakes distribution in the BSCZ with the
point process approach. Chi-square is used to determine the type of
earthquakes distribution in the sub region of BSCZ. The data used in
this research is data of earthquakes with a magnitude ≥ 6 SR for the
period 1964-2013 and sourced from BMKG Jakarta. This research is
expected to contribute to the Moluccas Province and surrounding
local governments in performing spatial plan document related to
disaster management.
[1] T. R, Charlton, “Tertiary evolution of the Eastern Indonesia Collision
Complex,” Journal of Asian Earth Sciences 18, 2000, pp. 603-631.
[2] R. Hall and M. E. J., Wilson, “Neogene sutures in eastern Indonesia,”
Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, vol. 18, 2000, pp. 781-808.
[3] H. J. Wattimanela, U. S. Pasaribu, N. T. Puspito, and S. W. Indratno,
Earthquake classification in Molluca Collision Zone using conventional
statistical methods, International Journal of Environmental, Ecological,
Geological and Mining Engineering vol. 8, no. 12, 2014, pp. 704-708.
[4] H. J. Wattimanela, U. S. Pasaribu, N. T. Puspito, and S. W. Indratno,
“Earthquakes clustering based on the magnitude and the depths in
Molluca Province,” International Conference Actuarial Science and
Statistics, FMIPA, Institute of Technology Bandung, 2014
[5] D. Stoyan, and A. Penttinen, “Recent applications of point process
methods in forestry statistics,” Statistical Science 15, 2000, pp. 61-78.
[6] C. Comas, “Modelling forest regeneration strategies through the
development of a spatio-temporal growth interaction model,” Stochastic
Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 23, 2009, pp. 1089-1102.
[7] P. Grabarnik, and A. Sarkka, “Modelling the spatial structure of forest
stands by multivariate point processes with hierarchical interactions,”
Ecological Modelling 220, 2009, pp. 1232-1240.
[8] R. Zuo, F. P. Agterberg, Q. Cheng, and L. Yao, “Fractal characterization
of the spatial distribution of geological point processes,” International
Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, vol. 11,
2009, pp. 394-402.
[9] D. Daley and D. Vere-Jones, An Introduction to the Theory of Point
Processes: Volume I: Elementary Theory and Methods, second edition,
New York: Springer, 2003, pp. 123-126
[10] F.P. Schoenberg, “Multidimensional residual analysis of point process
models for earthquake occurrence,” 2004, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. in
press.
[11] F.P. Schoenberg, and K.E. Tranbarger, “Description of earthquake
aftershock sequences using prototype point patterns,” Environmetrics
19, 2008, pp. 271-286.
[12] C.C. von der Borch, “Continent-island arc collision in the Banda arc,”
Tectonophysics, vol. 54, 1978, pp. 169-193.
[13] C. O. Bowin, G. M. Purdy, C. Johnston, G. G. Shor, L. Lawver, H.M.S.
Hartono, and P. Jezek, “Arc continent collision in the Banda Sea
Region,” American Association of Petroleum Geologists Bulletin,
vol.64, 1980, pp. 868-915
[14] J. Milsom, “The Vrancea seismic zone and its analogue in the Banda
Arc, eastern Indonesia,” Tectonophysics, vol. 410, 2005, pp. 325-336
[15] E. A. Okal, and D. Reymond, “The mechanism of great Banda Sea
earthquake of 1 February 1938: applying the method of preliminary
determination of focal mechanism to a historical event,” earth and
planetary science letters, vol. 216, 2003, pp. 1-15.
[16] R. K. Cardwell, and B. L. Isacks, “Geometry of the subducted
lithosphere beneath the Banda Sea in Eastern Indonesia from seismicity
and fault plane solution,” Journal of Geophysical research, vol. 83. B6,
1978, pp. 2825-2838.
[17] M. Sandiford, “Seismic moment release during slap rupture beneath the
Banda Sea,” Geophysical Journal International 174, 2008, pp. 659-671
[18] K. S. Ely, M. Sandiford, M. L. Hawke, D. Phillips, M. Quigley, and J. E.
dos Reis, “Evolution of Ataúro Island: Temporal constraints on
subduction processes beneath the Wetar zone, Banda Arc,” Journal of
Asian Earth Sciences, vol. 41, 2011, pp. 477-493.
[19] W. Spakman and R. Hall, “Surface deformation and slab-mantle
interaction during Banda arc subduction rollback,” Nature Geoscience 3,
2010, pp. 562-566.
[20] A. Spicak, R. Matejkova, and J. Vanek, “Seismic response to recent
tectonic processes in the Banda Arc region,” Journal of Asian Earth
Sciences 64, 2013, pp. 1-13.
[21] H. M. Taylor, and S. Karlin, An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling,
1998, third edition, Academic Press, pp. 312-313
[22] R. E. Walpole., K. Ye, R. H. Myers, and S. I., Myers, Probabilility &
Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, 2011, ninth edition, Prentice Hall,
pp. 366-368
[1] T. R, Charlton, “Tertiary evolution of the Eastern Indonesia Collision
Complex,” Journal of Asian Earth Sciences 18, 2000, pp. 603-631.
[2] R. Hall and M. E. J., Wilson, “Neogene sutures in eastern Indonesia,”
Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, vol. 18, 2000, pp. 781-808.
[3] H. J. Wattimanela, U. S. Pasaribu, N. T. Puspito, and S. W. Indratno,
Earthquake classification in Molluca Collision Zone using conventional
statistical methods, International Journal of Environmental, Ecological,
Geological and Mining Engineering vol. 8, no. 12, 2014, pp. 704-708.
[4] H. J. Wattimanela, U. S. Pasaribu, N. T. Puspito, and S. W. Indratno,
“Earthquakes clustering based on the magnitude and the depths in
Molluca Province,” International Conference Actuarial Science and
Statistics, FMIPA, Institute of Technology Bandung, 2014
[5] D. Stoyan, and A. Penttinen, “Recent applications of point process
methods in forestry statistics,” Statistical Science 15, 2000, pp. 61-78.
[6] C. Comas, “Modelling forest regeneration strategies through the
development of a spatio-temporal growth interaction model,” Stochastic
Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 23, 2009, pp. 1089-1102.
[7] P. Grabarnik, and A. Sarkka, “Modelling the spatial structure of forest
stands by multivariate point processes with hierarchical interactions,”
Ecological Modelling 220, 2009, pp. 1232-1240.
[8] R. Zuo, F. P. Agterberg, Q. Cheng, and L. Yao, “Fractal characterization
of the spatial distribution of geological point processes,” International
Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, vol. 11,
2009, pp. 394-402.
[9] D. Daley and D. Vere-Jones, An Introduction to the Theory of Point
Processes: Volume I: Elementary Theory and Methods, second edition,
New York: Springer, 2003, pp. 123-126
[10] F.P. Schoenberg, “Multidimensional residual analysis of point process
models for earthquake occurrence,” 2004, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. in
press.
[11] F.P. Schoenberg, and K.E. Tranbarger, “Description of earthquake
aftershock sequences using prototype point patterns,” Environmetrics
19, 2008, pp. 271-286.
[12] C.C. von der Borch, “Continent-island arc collision in the Banda arc,”
Tectonophysics, vol. 54, 1978, pp. 169-193.
[13] C. O. Bowin, G. M. Purdy, C. Johnston, G. G. Shor, L. Lawver, H.M.S.
Hartono, and P. Jezek, “Arc continent collision in the Banda Sea
Region,” American Association of Petroleum Geologists Bulletin,
vol.64, 1980, pp. 868-915
[14] J. Milsom, “The Vrancea seismic zone and its analogue in the Banda
Arc, eastern Indonesia,” Tectonophysics, vol. 410, 2005, pp. 325-336
[15] E. A. Okal, and D. Reymond, “The mechanism of great Banda Sea
earthquake of 1 February 1938: applying the method of preliminary
determination of focal mechanism to a historical event,” earth and
planetary science letters, vol. 216, 2003, pp. 1-15.
[16] R. K. Cardwell, and B. L. Isacks, “Geometry of the subducted
lithosphere beneath the Banda Sea in Eastern Indonesia from seismicity
and fault plane solution,” Journal of Geophysical research, vol. 83. B6,
1978, pp. 2825-2838.
[17] M. Sandiford, “Seismic moment release during slap rupture beneath the
Banda Sea,” Geophysical Journal International 174, 2008, pp. 659-671
[18] K. S. Ely, M. Sandiford, M. L. Hawke, D. Phillips, M. Quigley, and J. E.
dos Reis, “Evolution of Ataúro Island: Temporal constraints on
subduction processes beneath the Wetar zone, Banda Arc,” Journal of
Asian Earth Sciences, vol. 41, 2011, pp. 477-493.
[19] W. Spakman and R. Hall, “Surface deformation and slab-mantle
interaction during Banda arc subduction rollback,” Nature Geoscience 3,
2010, pp. 562-566.
[20] A. Spicak, R. Matejkova, and J. Vanek, “Seismic response to recent
tectonic processes in the Banda Arc region,” Journal of Asian Earth
Sciences 64, 2013, pp. 1-13.
[21] H. M. Taylor, and S. Karlin, An Introduction to Stochastic Modeling,
1998, third edition, Academic Press, pp. 312-313
[22] R. E. Walpole., K. Ye, R. H. Myers, and S. I., Myers, Probabilility &
Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, 2011, ninth edition, Prentice Hall,
pp. 366-368
@article{"International Journal of Earth, Energy and Environmental Sciences:71776", author = "Henry J. Wattimanela and Udjianna S. Pasaribu and Nanang T. Puspito and Sapto W. Indratno", title = "Classification of Earthquake Distribution in the Banda Sea Collision Zone with Point Process Approach", abstract = "Banda Sea Collision Zone (BSCZ) is the result of the
interaction and convergence of Indo-Australian plate, Eurasian plate
and Pacific plate. This location is located in eastern Indonesia. This
zone has a very high seismic activity. In this research, we will
calculate the rate (λ) and Mean Square Error (MSE). By this result,
we will classification earthquakes distribution in the BSCZ with the
point process approach. Chi-square is used to determine the type of
earthquakes distribution in the sub region of BSCZ. The data used in
this research is data of earthquakes with a magnitude ≥ 6 SR for the
period 1964-2013 and sourced from BMKG Jakarta. This research is
expected to contribute to the Moluccas Province and surrounding
local governments in performing spatial plan document related to
disaster management.", keywords = "Banda sea collision zone, earthquakes, mean square
error, Poisson distribution, chi-square test.", volume = "9", number = "12", pages = "1397-5", }
