Assessment of Landslide Volume for Alishan Highway Based On Database of Rainfall-Induced Slope Failure
In this paper, a study of slope failures along the Alishan Highway is carried out. An innovative empirical model is developed based on 15-year records of rainfall-induced slope failures. The statistical models are intended for assessing the volume of landslide for slope failure along the Alishan Highway in the future. The rainfall data considered in the proposed models include the effective cumulative rainfall and the critical rainfall intensity. The effective cumulative rainfall is defined at the point when the curve of cumulative rainfall goes from steep to flat. Then, the rainfall thresholds of landslide are established for assessing the volume of landslide and issuing warning and/or closure for the Alishan Highway during a future extreme rainfall. Slope failures during Typhoon Saola in 2012 demonstrate that the new empirical model is effective and applicable to other cases with similar rainfall conditions.
[1] P. D'Odorico, S. Fagherazzi,“ A probabilistic model of rainfall-triggered shallow
landslides in hollows: a long-term analysis.” (ESG 6–1) Water Resources Research 39,
6-14, 2003.
[2] A.S.Muntohar, H.J. Liao,” Analysis of rainfall-induced infinite slope failure during
typhoon using a hydrological–geotechnical model.” Environmental Geology 56,
1145–1159, 2009.
[3] C.C. Huang, S.C. Yuin, “Experimental investigation of rainfall criteria for shallow slope
failures,” Geomorphology 120, 326–338, 2010.
[4] M, Safaei, H. Omar, B.K. Huat, Z.B.M. Yousof, V. Ghiasi,” Deterministic rainfall
induced landslide approaches, advantage and limitation. (16 Bund. U), “Electronic
Journal of Geotechnical Engineering 1619–1650, 2011.
[5] F. Guzzetti, S. Peruccacci, M. Rossi, and C.P. Stark, “Rainfall thresholds for the initiation
of landslides in central and southern Europe,” Meteorology and atmospheric physics, vol.
98, no. 1-2, pp. 239-267, 2007.
[6] R.L. Dahal, S. Hasegawa,”. Representative rainfall thresholds for landslides in the Nepal
Himalaya. Geomorphology 100, 429–443, 2008.
[7] P. Jaiswal, C.J.V Westen, “. Estimating temporal probability for landslide initiation along
transportation routes based on rainfall thresholds”. Geomorphology 112, 96–105, 2009.
[8] H. Saito, D. Nakayama, H. Matsuyama, “Relationship between the initiation of a
shallow landslide and rainfall intensity-duration thresholds in Japan.” Geomorphology
118, 167–175, 2010.
[9] M. Floris, F. Bozzano, “. Evaluation of landslide reactivation: a modified rainfall threshold
model based on historical records of rainfall and landslides.” Geomorphology 94, 40–57,
2008.
[10] M.T. Brunetti, S. Peruccacci, M. Rossi, S. Luciani, D. Valigi,F. Guzzetti, “ Rainfall
thresholds for the possible occurrence of landslides in Italy. “ Natural Hazards and Earth
System Sciences 10, 447–458, 2010.
[11] M. Floris, F. Bozzano, “Evaluation of landslide reactivation: a modified rainfall threshold
model based on historical records of rainfall and landslides. “ Geomorphology 94, 40–57,
2008.
[12] C. Li, T. Ma, X. Zhu, W. Li,” The power–law relationship between landslide occurrence
and rainfall level.” Geomorphology 130, 221–229, 2011.
[13] T. Glade, M. Crozier, P. Smith,” Applying probability determination to refine
landslide-triggering rainfall thresholds using an empirical “antecedent daily rainfall
model”. Pure and Applied Geophysics 157, 1059–1079, 2000.
[14] P. Jaiswal,, C.J.V. Westen, “ Estimating temporal probability for landslide initiation along
transportation routes based on rainfall thresholds. Geomorphology 112, 96–105, 2009.
[15] H. Ikeya, Methods of Debris Flow Forecast, Kajima Institute publishing Co. Ltd, Japan,
pp. 65–70, 1983.
[16] T. Uchihugi, “Landslides due to one continual rainfall,” JSECE, 23(4), pp 79, 1971.
[17] S.C. Chen, Y.Z. Tasi, C.H. Wu,” Distinguishing landslide morphology and landslide
volume estimate in Siaolun village,” .Journal of Engineering Environment, No.25, 45-56,
2010.
[18] B.S. Lin, W.Y. Leung, S.Y. Chi, W.C. Lo,” Applying GIS and Remote Sensing to
Simply Estimate Landslide Volume of Typhoon Events in a Watershed,” 2011
International Conference on Fuzzy Systems and Neural Computing, 136-139, 2011.
[19] Y.Y. Chi, Risk Assessment of Natural Disaster. Taiwan: Tsang Hai Book Publishing Co.,
2011.
[1] P. D'Odorico, S. Fagherazzi,“ A probabilistic model of rainfall-triggered shallow
landslides in hollows: a long-term analysis.” (ESG 6–1) Water Resources Research 39,
6-14, 2003.
[2] A.S.Muntohar, H.J. Liao,” Analysis of rainfall-induced infinite slope failure during
typhoon using a hydrological–geotechnical model.” Environmental Geology 56,
1145–1159, 2009.
[3] C.C. Huang, S.C. Yuin, “Experimental investigation of rainfall criteria for shallow slope
failures,” Geomorphology 120, 326–338, 2010.
[4] M, Safaei, H. Omar, B.K. Huat, Z.B.M. Yousof, V. Ghiasi,” Deterministic rainfall
induced landslide approaches, advantage and limitation. (16 Bund. U), “Electronic
Journal of Geotechnical Engineering 1619–1650, 2011.
[5] F. Guzzetti, S. Peruccacci, M. Rossi, and C.P. Stark, “Rainfall thresholds for the initiation
of landslides in central and southern Europe,” Meteorology and atmospheric physics, vol.
98, no. 1-2, pp. 239-267, 2007.
[6] R.L. Dahal, S. Hasegawa,”. Representative rainfall thresholds for landslides in the Nepal
Himalaya. Geomorphology 100, 429–443, 2008.
[7] P. Jaiswal, C.J.V Westen, “. Estimating temporal probability for landslide initiation along
transportation routes based on rainfall thresholds”. Geomorphology 112, 96–105, 2009.
[8] H. Saito, D. Nakayama, H. Matsuyama, “Relationship between the initiation of a
shallow landslide and rainfall intensity-duration thresholds in Japan.” Geomorphology
118, 167–175, 2010.
[9] M. Floris, F. Bozzano, “. Evaluation of landslide reactivation: a modified rainfall threshold
model based on historical records of rainfall and landslides.” Geomorphology 94, 40–57,
2008.
[10] M.T. Brunetti, S. Peruccacci, M. Rossi, S. Luciani, D. Valigi,F. Guzzetti, “ Rainfall
thresholds for the possible occurrence of landslides in Italy. “ Natural Hazards and Earth
System Sciences 10, 447–458, 2010.
[11] M. Floris, F. Bozzano, “Evaluation of landslide reactivation: a modified rainfall threshold
model based on historical records of rainfall and landslides. “ Geomorphology 94, 40–57,
2008.
[12] C. Li, T. Ma, X. Zhu, W. Li,” The power–law relationship between landslide occurrence
and rainfall level.” Geomorphology 130, 221–229, 2011.
[13] T. Glade, M. Crozier, P. Smith,” Applying probability determination to refine
landslide-triggering rainfall thresholds using an empirical “antecedent daily rainfall
model”. Pure and Applied Geophysics 157, 1059–1079, 2000.
[14] P. Jaiswal,, C.J.V. Westen, “ Estimating temporal probability for landslide initiation along
transportation routes based on rainfall thresholds. Geomorphology 112, 96–105, 2009.
[15] H. Ikeya, Methods of Debris Flow Forecast, Kajima Institute publishing Co. Ltd, Japan,
pp. 65–70, 1983.
[16] T. Uchihugi, “Landslides due to one continual rainfall,” JSECE, 23(4), pp 79, 1971.
[17] S.C. Chen, Y.Z. Tasi, C.H. Wu,” Distinguishing landslide morphology and landslide
volume estimate in Siaolun village,” .Journal of Engineering Environment, No.25, 45-56,
2010.
[18] B.S. Lin, W.Y. Leung, S.Y. Chi, W.C. Lo,” Applying GIS and Remote Sensing to
Simply Estimate Landslide Volume of Typhoon Events in a Watershed,” 2011
International Conference on Fuzzy Systems and Neural Computing, 136-139, 2011.
[19] Y.Y. Chi, Risk Assessment of Natural Disaster. Taiwan: Tsang Hai Book Publishing Co.,
2011.
@article{"International Journal of Earth, Energy and Environmental Sciences:65437", author = "Yun-Yao Chi and Ya-Fen Lee", title = "Assessment of Landslide Volume for Alishan Highway Based On Database of Rainfall-Induced Slope Failure", abstract = "In this paper, a study of slope failures along the Alishan Highway is carried out. An innovative empirical model is developed based on 15-year records of rainfall-induced slope failures. The statistical models are intended for assessing the volume of landslide for slope failure along the Alishan Highway in the future. The rainfall data considered in the proposed models include the effective cumulative rainfall and the critical rainfall intensity. The effective cumulative rainfall is defined at the point when the curve of cumulative rainfall goes from steep to flat. Then, the rainfall thresholds of landslide are established for assessing the volume of landslide and issuing warning and/or closure for the Alishan Highway during a future extreme rainfall. Slope failures during Typhoon Saola in 2012 demonstrate that the new empirical model is effective and applicable to other cases with similar rainfall conditions.
", keywords = "Slope failure, landslide, volume, model, rainfall thresholds.", volume = "7", number = "10", pages = "693-6", }
