Regional Analysis of Streamflow Drought: A Case Study for Southwestern Iran
Droughts are complex, natural hazards that, to a
varying degree, affect some parts of the world every year. The range
of drought impacts is related to drought occurring in different stages
of the hydrological cycle and usually different types of droughts,
such as meteorological, agricultural, hydrological, and socioeconomical
are distinguished. Streamflow drought was analyzed by
the method of truncation level (at 70% level) on daily discharges
measured in 54 hydrometric stations in southwestern Iran. Frequency
analysis was carried out for annual maximum series (AMS) of
drought deficit volume and duration series. Some factors including
physiographic, climatic, geologic, and vegetation cover were studied
as influential factors in the regional analysis. According to the results
of factor analysis, six most effective factors were identified as area,
rainfall from December to February, the percent of area with
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) <0.1, the percent of
convex area, drainage density and the minimum of watershed
elevation that explained 90.9% of variance. The homogenous regions
were determined by cluster analysis and discriminate function
analysis. Suitable multivariate regression models were evaluated for
streamflow drought deficit volume with 2 years return period. The
significance level of regression models was 0.01. The results showed
that the watershed area is the most effective factor with high
correlation with deficit volume. Also, drought duration was not a
suitable drought index for regional analysis.
[1] L. Abdullaev, and K. Jumaboev, (2004) "Water Management and
Drought Mitigation Strategies: Application of IWMI experience for
CAC region". Www. IWMI.org.
[2] S.R. Chalise, S.R. Kansakar, G. Rees, K. Croker, and M. Zaidman,
"Management of water resources and low flow estimation for the
Himalayan basins of Nepal", Journal of Hydrology, No. 282, Issues 1-4,
2003, pp. 25-35.
[3] J.A. Dracup, K.S. Lee, and E.G. Paulson, "On the definition of
droughts," Water Resources Research 16 (2), 1980, pp. 297-302.
[4] A.K. Fleig, L.M. Tallaksen, H. Hisdal, and S. Demuth, "A global
evaluation of streamflow drought characteristics," Hydrology and Earth
System Sciences sions, vol. 10, 2006, pp.535-552.
[5] C.T. Haan, "Statistical Methods in Hydrology," Ames, Iowa: The Iowa
State University Press, 1977, pp. 130-160.
[6] A.G. Henriques, and M.J.J. Santos,. "Regional drought distribution
model," in Physics and chemistry of the earth. Part B. Hydrology, oceans
and atmosphere, European water, 1999.
[7] H. Hisdal, K. Stahl, L.M. Tallaksen, and S. Demuth, "Have streamflow
droughts in Europe become more severe or frequent?," International
Journal of Climatology vol. 21, 2001, pp.317-333.
[8] H. Hisdal, and L.M. Tallaksen, (Eds) "Drought event difention," ARIDE
Technical Report No.6, University of Oslo, Norway, 2000.
[9] H. Hisdal, and L.M. Tallaksen, "Estimation of regional, meteorological
and hydrological drought characteristics: a case study for Denmark,"
Journal of Hydrology, vol. 281, 2003, pp. 230-247.
[10] W. Jacubowski, and L. Radczuk, NIZOWKA2003 Software,
Agricultural University of Wroclaw, Poland, 2003.
[11] Jamab Engineering consultants Company, "The report of Iran Water
comprehensive plan," Iran water Resources Management Organization
publication, 2000, pp. 30-85.
[12] R.T. Kjeldsen, A. Lundrof, and D. Rosbjerg, "Use of a two-component
exponential distribution in partial duration modeling of hydrological
drought in Zimbabwean rivers," Hydrological science journal, vol.
45(2), 2000, pp. 285-298.
[13] A. Longobardi, and P. Villani, "Baseflow index regionalization analysis
in a Mediterranean area and data scarcity context: Role of the catchment
permeability index," Journal of Hydrology, vol. 355(1-4), 2008, pp. 63-
75.
[14] R.T. Nathan, and T.A. McMahon, "Identification of homogeneous
regions for the purpose of regionalization," Journal of Hydrology, vol.
121, 1990, pp. 217-238.
[15] G. Nutzmann, and S. Mey, "Model-based estimation of runoff changes
in a small lowland watershed of north-eastern Germany," Journal of
Hydrology, vol. 334(3-4), 2007, pp. 467-476.
[16] Z. Radic, and V. Mihailovic, "Development of monitoring system for
Serbia hydrological droughts analysis," Serbia Water National Program
"Hydrological bases of water resources and international cooperation ".
NPV - 21A, 2005.
[17] Z. Sen, "Regional drought and flood frequency analysis: theoretical
consideration," Journal of Hydrology vol. 46, 1980, pp. 265-279.
[18] L.M. Tallaksen, "Streamflow drought frequency analysis," in Drought
and Drought Mitigation in Europe, J.V. Vogt and F. Somma Ed. Kluwer
Academic Publishers, the Netherlands, 2000, pp.103-117.
[19] L.M. Tallaksen, and H. Hisdal, "Regional analysis of extreme
streamflow drought duration and deficit volume," in FRIEND-97-
Regional Hydrology: Concepts and Models for Sustainable Water
Resource Management, A. Gustard, S. Blazkova, M. Brilly, S. Demuth,
J. Dixon, H. Van Lanen, C. Llasat, S. Mkhandi, and E. Servat, Ed. IAHS
Publication vol. 246, 1997, pp. 141-150.
[20] D.A. Wilhite, and M.H. Lantz, "Understanding the drought
phenomenon: the role of definitions," Water International vol. 10 (3),
1985, pp. 111-120.
[21] V. Yevjevich, "An objective approach to definition and investigations of
continental hydrologic droughts," Hydrology Papers 23, Colorado State
University, Fort Collins, USA, 1967.
[22] V. Yevjevich, "Methods for determining statistical properties of
droughts," in Coping with droughts, V. Yevjevich, L. da Cunha, and E.
Vlachos, Ed. Colorado, Water Resources Publications, 1983, pp. 22-43.
[23] M.D. Zaidman, H.G. Rees, and A.R. Young, "Spatio-temporal
development of streamflow droughts in north-west Europe," Hydrology
and Earth System Sciences, vol. 5(4), 2001, pp. 733-751.
[24] E. Zelenhasi'c, and A. Salvai, "A method of streamflow drought
analysis," Water Resour. Res., vol. 23(1), 1987, pp. 156-168.
[1] L. Abdullaev, and K. Jumaboev, (2004) "Water Management and
Drought Mitigation Strategies: Application of IWMI experience for
CAC region". Www. IWMI.org.
[2] S.R. Chalise, S.R. Kansakar, G. Rees, K. Croker, and M. Zaidman,
"Management of water resources and low flow estimation for the
Himalayan basins of Nepal", Journal of Hydrology, No. 282, Issues 1-4,
2003, pp. 25-35.
[3] J.A. Dracup, K.S. Lee, and E.G. Paulson, "On the definition of
droughts," Water Resources Research 16 (2), 1980, pp. 297-302.
[4] A.K. Fleig, L.M. Tallaksen, H. Hisdal, and S. Demuth, "A global
evaluation of streamflow drought characteristics," Hydrology and Earth
System Sciences sions, vol. 10, 2006, pp.535-552.
[5] C.T. Haan, "Statistical Methods in Hydrology," Ames, Iowa: The Iowa
State University Press, 1977, pp. 130-160.
[6] A.G. Henriques, and M.J.J. Santos,. "Regional drought distribution
model," in Physics and chemistry of the earth. Part B. Hydrology, oceans
and atmosphere, European water, 1999.
[7] H. Hisdal, K. Stahl, L.M. Tallaksen, and S. Demuth, "Have streamflow
droughts in Europe become more severe or frequent?," International
Journal of Climatology vol. 21, 2001, pp.317-333.
[8] H. Hisdal, and L.M. Tallaksen, (Eds) "Drought event difention," ARIDE
Technical Report No.6, University of Oslo, Norway, 2000.
[9] H. Hisdal, and L.M. Tallaksen, "Estimation of regional, meteorological
and hydrological drought characteristics: a case study for Denmark,"
Journal of Hydrology, vol. 281, 2003, pp. 230-247.
[10] W. Jacubowski, and L. Radczuk, NIZOWKA2003 Software,
Agricultural University of Wroclaw, Poland, 2003.
[11] Jamab Engineering consultants Company, "The report of Iran Water
comprehensive plan," Iran water Resources Management Organization
publication, 2000, pp. 30-85.
[12] R.T. Kjeldsen, A. Lundrof, and D. Rosbjerg, "Use of a two-component
exponential distribution in partial duration modeling of hydrological
drought in Zimbabwean rivers," Hydrological science journal, vol.
45(2), 2000, pp. 285-298.
[13] A. Longobardi, and P. Villani, "Baseflow index regionalization analysis
in a Mediterranean area and data scarcity context: Role of the catchment
permeability index," Journal of Hydrology, vol. 355(1-4), 2008, pp. 63-
75.
[14] R.T. Nathan, and T.A. McMahon, "Identification of homogeneous
regions for the purpose of regionalization," Journal of Hydrology, vol.
121, 1990, pp. 217-238.
[15] G. Nutzmann, and S. Mey, "Model-based estimation of runoff changes
in a small lowland watershed of north-eastern Germany," Journal of
Hydrology, vol. 334(3-4), 2007, pp. 467-476.
[16] Z. Radic, and V. Mihailovic, "Development of monitoring system for
Serbia hydrological droughts analysis," Serbia Water National Program
"Hydrological bases of water resources and international cooperation ".
NPV - 21A, 2005.
[17] Z. Sen, "Regional drought and flood frequency analysis: theoretical
consideration," Journal of Hydrology vol. 46, 1980, pp. 265-279.
[18] L.M. Tallaksen, "Streamflow drought frequency analysis," in Drought
and Drought Mitigation in Europe, J.V. Vogt and F. Somma Ed. Kluwer
Academic Publishers, the Netherlands, 2000, pp.103-117.
[19] L.M. Tallaksen, and H. Hisdal, "Regional analysis of extreme
streamflow drought duration and deficit volume," in FRIEND-97-
Regional Hydrology: Concepts and Models for Sustainable Water
Resource Management, A. Gustard, S. Blazkova, M. Brilly, S. Demuth,
J. Dixon, H. Van Lanen, C. Llasat, S. Mkhandi, and E. Servat, Ed. IAHS
Publication vol. 246, 1997, pp. 141-150.
[20] D.A. Wilhite, and M.H. Lantz, "Understanding the drought
phenomenon: the role of definitions," Water International vol. 10 (3),
1985, pp. 111-120.
[21] V. Yevjevich, "An objective approach to definition and investigations of
continental hydrologic droughts," Hydrology Papers 23, Colorado State
University, Fort Collins, USA, 1967.
[22] V. Yevjevich, "Methods for determining statistical properties of
droughts," in Coping with droughts, V. Yevjevich, L. da Cunha, and E.
Vlachos, Ed. Colorado, Water Resources Publications, 1983, pp. 22-43.
[23] M.D. Zaidman, H.G. Rees, and A.R. Young, "Spatio-temporal
development of streamflow droughts in north-west Europe," Hydrology
and Earth System Sciences, vol. 5(4), 2001, pp. 733-751.
[24] E. Zelenhasi'c, and A. Salvai, "A method of streamflow drought
analysis," Water Resour. Res., vol. 23(1), 1987, pp. 156-168.
@article{"International Journal of Electrical, Electronic and Communication Sciences:49402", author = "M. Byzedi and B. Saghafian", title = "Regional Analysis of Streamflow Drought: A Case Study for Southwestern Iran", abstract = "Droughts are complex, natural hazards that, to a
varying degree, affect some parts of the world every year. The range
of drought impacts is related to drought occurring in different stages
of the hydrological cycle and usually different types of droughts,
such as meteorological, agricultural, hydrological, and socioeconomical
are distinguished. Streamflow drought was analyzed by
the method of truncation level (at 70% level) on daily discharges
measured in 54 hydrometric stations in southwestern Iran. Frequency
analysis was carried out for annual maximum series (AMS) of
drought deficit volume and duration series. Some factors including
physiographic, climatic, geologic, and vegetation cover were studied
as influential factors in the regional analysis. According to the results
of factor analysis, six most effective factors were identified as area,
rainfall from December to February, the percent of area with
Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) ", keywords = "Iran, Streamflow drought, truncation level method,regional analysis.", volume = "3", number = "9", pages = "1650-5", }
