Underpricing of IPOs during Hot and Cold Market Periods on the South African Stock Exchange (JSE)

Underpricing is one anomaly in initial public offerings
(IPO) literature that has been widely observed across different stock
markets with different trends emerging over different time periods.
This study seeks to determine how IPOs on the JSE performed on the
first day, first week and first month over the period of 1996-2011.
Underpricing trends are documented for both hot and cold market
periods in terms of four main sectors (cyclical, defensive, growth
stock and interest rate sensitive stocks). Using a sample of 360 listed
companies on the JSE, the empirical findings established that IPOs
on the JSE are significantly underpriced with an average market
adjusted first day return of 62.9%. It is also established that hot
market IPOs on the JSE are more underpriced than the cold market
IPOs. Also observed is the fact that as the offer price per share
increases above the median price for any given period, the level of
underpricing decreases substantially. While significant differences
exist in the level of underpricing of IPOs in the four different sectors
in the hot and cold market periods, interest rates sensitive stocks
showed a different trend from the other sectors and thus require
further investigation to uncover this pattern.





References:
<p>[1] A.R. Brealey. And C.S Myer. “Principles of Corporate Finance.” 7th
edition, McGraw Hill, 2003, pp. 15.
[2] S. Foerster. “IPOs: The Short and Long of What We Know”. (Internet):
http://www.investmentreview.com/files/2009/12/field_notes17.pdf. 5th
Oct. 2012 (2003).
[3] F.S. Latham and R.M. Braun. “Jilted? The manager's little book for
keeping customers in a recession”. Journal of Business Strategy, vol.31
(1), pp. 4 – 10, 2010.
[4] M.B. Heeley, F.M, Sharon and Neelam, J. “Innovation, Appropriability,
and the Underpricing of Initial Public Offerings”. Academy of
Management Journal, 50, pp. 209-225, 2007.
[5] F. Allen and G. Faulhaber. “Signaling by Underpricing in the IPO
Market”. Journal of Financial Economics, vol.23, pp. 303-323, 1989.
[6] R. Ibbotson and J, Jaffe. 1975. “Hot issue markets”, Journal of Finance,
30, pp. 1027-1042, 1975.
[7] J. Ritter. “The hot issue market of 1980”. Journal of Business, 32: 215-
240, 1984.
[8] J. Helwege and N. Liang, N. “Initial public offerings in hot and cold
markets”, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, vol.39, pp.
541-569, 2004.
[9] S. Aggarwal. “The New Issue Puzzle: IPO Pricing in the Hot and Cold
Markets in India”. MA thesis in Finance and Investment, India, 2006.
[10] J. Helwege and N. Liang. “Initial Public Offerings in Hot and Cold
Markets. Working paper”.
(Internet): http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/2003/200304/200304
pap.pdf. 5th January, 2013 (2002).
[11] R. Lawson and M. Ward. “Price performance of newly listed shares on
the Johannesburg Stock Exchange”. Investment Analysts Journal, vol.
47, pp. 17-31, 1998.
[12] H.R. Barlow and R.J. Sparks. “A study of the pricing of new equity
issues listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange” M.B.A. Research
report, Cape Town: University of Cape Town, 1986.
[13] C.B. Lattimer. “The short-run equity underpricing puzzle in South
Africa with an emphasis on the winner’s curse hypothesis”. A thesis
submitted in fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master in
Commerce, University of the Witwatersrand, 2006.
[14] G. Van Heerden and P. Alagidede. “Short run underpricing of initial
public offerings (IPOs) in the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE)”.
Review of Development Finance, vol.2 (3-4), pp. 130-138, 2012.
[15] G. Chen, M. Firth and K. Jeong-Bon. “IPO underpricing in China’s new
stock markets”. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 14:
283-302, 2004.
[16] T. J. Boulton, S.B. Smart and C.J. Zutter. “IPO underpricing and
international corporate governance”. Working paper, Miami University,
Oxford, 2007.
[17] T. Loughran, J.R. Ritter and K. Rydqvist. “Initial Public Offerings:
International insights”. Pacific –Basin Finance Journal, vol. 2, pp. 1-2,
2010.
[18] R. Aggarwal, R. Leal and L. Hernandez. “The aftermarket performance
of initial public offerings in Latin America”. Financial Management,
vol. 22, pp. 42-53, 1993.
[19] H. Kiymaz. “The initial and aftermarket performance of IPOs in an
emerging market: evidence from Istanbul stock exchange”. Journal of
Multinational Financial Management, vol. 10, pp. 213-227, 2000.
[20] E.O. Lyn and E.J. Zychowicz. “The performance of new equity offerings
in Hungary and Poland”. Global Finance Journal, vol. 14, pp. 181-195,
2003.
[21] M. Omran. “Underpricing and long-run performance of share issue
privatizations in the Egyptian stock market”. Journal of Financial
Research, vol.28, pp. 215-234, 2005.
[22] K. L. Alli and V. Subrahmanyam, K.C. Gleason. “Short and long-run
performance of IPOs in post-apartheid South Africa”. Working paper,
Mercer University, Atlanta, 2006.
[23] R.Q. Doeswij, H.S.K. Hemmes and R.H. Venekamp. “25 years of Dutch
IPOs: an examination of frequently cited IPO anomalies within the main
sectors and during hot and cold issue periods”. De Economist, vol. 154,
pp. 154-405, 2006.
[24] P. Jaskiewicz, M.V. Gonzalez, S. Menendez and D. Schiereck. 2005.
“Long-Run IPO Performance Analysis of German and Spanish Family-
Owned Businesses”.Family Business Review, vol. 18(3), pp.179-202.
[25] A.M. Almisher, G.S. Buell and J.R. Kish. “The relationship between
systematic risk and underpricing of the IPO market”. Research in
Finance, vol.19, pp.87 – 107, 2002.
[26] A. Alti. “IPO market timing”. Review of Financial Studies, vol.61, pp.
1681-1709, 2005.
[27] F. Derrien. “IPO pricing in ‘hot’ market conditions: Who leaves money
on the table?” The Journal of Finance, vol. 60 (1), pp. 487-521, 2005.
[28] M. Kooli and J. Suret. 2002. “The underpricing of initial public
offerings: further Canadian evidence”. (Internet):
http://sustainableenterpriseacademy.com/ssbextra/
financialpolicyresearch.nsf/Lookup/CapitaltoNewTechnology_Sur
et3/$file/CapitaltoNewTechnology_Suret3.pdf. 5th January, 2013,
(2002).
[29] A.V. Kumar. “Venture backed IPO's in India: Issues of certification and
underpricing”. Journal of Entrepreneurial Finance, vol.9 (2), pp. 93-
108, 2004.
[30] P. Clarkson and J. Merkley. “Ex ante uncertainty and the underpricing of
initial public offering: Further Canadian evidence”. Canadian Journal of
Administrative Sciences, vol.11, pp. 54-67, 1994.
[31] R.G. Ibbotson, J.L Sindelar and J.R. Ritter. “The market's problems with
the pricing of initial public offerings”. Journal of Applied Corporate
Finance, 7 (1), pp. 66–74, 1994.
[32] C. M’kombe and M. Ward. “Aftermarket price performance of initial
public offerings on the JSE”. Investment Analysts Journal, vol.55, pp. 7–
20, 2002.
[33] S.S. Deb and M.B. Vijaya. Information content of IPO grading. Journal
of banking & Finance, vol. 34, pp. 2294-2305, 2010.
[34] T.A. Finkle and R.P. Lamb. “A comparative analysis of the performance
of emerging v. non-emerging industry initial public offerings”. New
England Journal of Entrepreneurship, vol. 5(1), 2002.
[35] J. Ang and C. Boyer. “Performance differences between IPOs in new
industries and IPOs in established industries”. Managerial Finance,
vol.35 (7), pp.606-623, 2009.
[36] J.G. Taylor. “Investment Timing and the Business Cycle: Wiley
Frontiers in Finance.” Canada: John Wiley & Sons, 1998.
[37] M.S. Sadaqat, M.F. Akhtar and K. Ali. “An Analysis on the
Performance of IPO – A Study on the Karachi Stock Exchange of
Pakistan”. International Journal of Business and Social Science, vol.2
(6), pp. 275-285, 2011.
[38] M. Page and I, Reyneke. “The Timing and Subsequent Performance of
Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange”.
Journal of Business, Finance and Accounting, vol. 24 (9-10), pp. 1401-
1420, 1997.
[39] J. Joshy and K.S. Agarwalla. “Mandatory IPO Grading: Does It Help
Pricing Efficiency?” Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad,
Research and Publication Department, working paper. (Internet)
http://www.iimahd.ernet.in/assets/snippets/
workingpaperpdf/5627045722012-12-07.pdf. 5th January, 2013, (2012).</p>