Tropical Cyclogenesis Response to Solar Activity in the Eastern Pacific Region
The relationship between tropical cyclogenesis and solar activity is addressed in this paper, analyzing the relationship between important parameters in the evolution of tropical cyclones as the CAPE, wind shear and relative vorticity, and the Dst geomagnetic index as a parameter of solar activity. The apparent relationship between all this phenomena has a different response depending on the phase of the solar cycles.
[1] IPCC. Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change
2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution
of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment report
of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (M.L.
Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden
and C.E. Hanson (eds.)). Cambridge University Press,
Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.,
2007.
[2] R. Mendelsohn, K. Emanuel, and S. Chonabayashi. The
impact of climate change on hurricane damages in the
united states. The World Bank, Finance and Urban
Department, Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and
Recovery, page 38, 2011.
[3] R. A. Anthes, R. W. Corell, G. Holland, J. W. Hurrell,
M. C. MacCracken, and K. E. Trenberth. Hurricanes
and global warming: Potential linkages and consquences.
American Meteorological Society Bulletin, pages 623-
628, 2006.
[4] T. Knutson, C. Landsea, and K. Emanuel. Tropical
cyclones and climate change: A review. In J.C.L. Chan
and J.D. Kepert, editors, Global perspectives on tropical
cyclones: from science to mitigation, pages 243-284.
World Scientific, 2010.
[5] P. J. Webster, G. J. Holland, J.A. Curry, and H. R.
Chang. Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration and
intensity in warming environment. Science, 309:1844-
1846, 2005.
[6] I. Grossman and M. G. Morgan. Tropical cyclones,
climate change, and scientific uncertainty: what do we
know, what does it mean, and what should be done?
Climate Change, 108:543-579, 20110.
[7] IPCC. Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change
2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working
Group I to the Fourth Assessment report of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Solomon,
S., D. Qin, M. Manning,Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B.
Averyt, M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)). Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New
York, NY, USA., 2007.
[8] J. B. Elsner and S.P. Kavlakov. Hurricamne intensity
changes associated with geomagnetic variation. Atm.
Science Lett., 2001.
[9] J. P'erez-Perzaza, S. Kavlakov, V. Velasco, A. Gallegos-
Cruz, E. Azpra-Romero, O. Delgado-Delgado, and F. Villica
na Cruz. Solar, geomagnetic and cosmic ray intensity
changes, preceding the cyclone appearances around
mexico. Adv. Space Res., pages 1601-1613, 2008.
[10] Blanca Mendoza and Marni Pazos. A 22-years hurricane
cycle and its relation to geomagnetic activity. J. Atm.
And Solar-terrestrial Phys., 71:2047-2054, 2009.
[11] W. M. Gray. Global view of the origin of tropical
disturbances and storms. Mon. Wea. Rev., 96:669-700,
1968.
[12] S.J. Camargo, A. Robertson, A. Barnston, and M. Ghil.
Clustering of eastern north pacific tropical cyclone
tracks: Enso and mjo effects. Geochemistry Geophysics
Geosystems, 9(6):1-23, 2008.
[13] J. P. Donnelly and J. d. Woodruff. Intense hurricane
activity over the past 5,000 years controlled by el nio
and the west african monsoon. Nature, 447:465-468,
2007.
[14] J. Molinari, D. Knight, M. Dickinson, D. Vollaro, and
S. Skubis. Potential vorticity, easterly waves, and eastern
pacific tropical cyclogenesis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125:2699-
2708, 1997.
[15] A. Aiyyer and J. Molinari. Mjo ad tropical cyclogenesis
in the gulf of mexico and eastern pacific: Case study
and numerical modelling. Journal of the Atmospheric
Sciences, 65, 2008.
[16] C. Zhang. Madden-julian oscillation. Reviews of Geophysics,
43:36, 2005.
[17] F. Biondi, A. Gerhunov, and D. Cayan. North pacific
decadal climate variability since 1661. Journal of Climate,
14, 2001.
[18] J. Perez-Peraza, Velasco V.M., and Libin I. Influence of
cosmophysical phenomena and african dust on hurricanes
genesis. In Anthony Lupo, editor, Reacent Hurricane Research
-Climate, Dynamics and Societal Impacts, pages
41-76. inTech, 2011.
[1] IPCC. Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change
2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution
of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment report
of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (M.L.
Parry, O.F. Canziani, J.P. Palutikof, P.J. van der Linden
and C.E. Hanson (eds.)). Cambridge University Press,
Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.,
2007.
[2] R. Mendelsohn, K. Emanuel, and S. Chonabayashi. The
impact of climate change on hurricane damages in the
united states. The World Bank, Finance and Urban
Department, Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and
Recovery, page 38, 2011.
[3] R. A. Anthes, R. W. Corell, G. Holland, J. W. Hurrell,
M. C. MacCracken, and K. E. Trenberth. Hurricanes
and global warming: Potential linkages and consquences.
American Meteorological Society Bulletin, pages 623-
628, 2006.
[4] T. Knutson, C. Landsea, and K. Emanuel. Tropical
cyclones and climate change: A review. In J.C.L. Chan
and J.D. Kepert, editors, Global perspectives on tropical
cyclones: from science to mitigation, pages 243-284.
World Scientific, 2010.
[5] P. J. Webster, G. J. Holland, J.A. Curry, and H. R.
Chang. Changes in tropical cyclone number, duration and
intensity in warming environment. Science, 309:1844-
1846, 2005.
[6] I. Grossman and M. G. Morgan. Tropical cyclones,
climate change, and scientific uncertainty: what do we
know, what does it mean, and what should be done?
Climate Change, 108:543-579, 20110.
[7] IPCC. Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change
2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working
Group I to the Fourth Assessment report of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Solomon,
S., D. Qin, M. Manning,Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B.
Averyt, M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.)). Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New
York, NY, USA., 2007.
[8] J. B. Elsner and S.P. Kavlakov. Hurricamne intensity
changes associated with geomagnetic variation. Atm.
Science Lett., 2001.
[9] J. P'erez-Perzaza, S. Kavlakov, V. Velasco, A. Gallegos-
Cruz, E. Azpra-Romero, O. Delgado-Delgado, and F. Villica
na Cruz. Solar, geomagnetic and cosmic ray intensity
changes, preceding the cyclone appearances around
mexico. Adv. Space Res., pages 1601-1613, 2008.
[10] Blanca Mendoza and Marni Pazos. A 22-years hurricane
cycle and its relation to geomagnetic activity. J. Atm.
And Solar-terrestrial Phys., 71:2047-2054, 2009.
[11] W. M. Gray. Global view of the origin of tropical
disturbances and storms. Mon. Wea. Rev., 96:669-700,
1968.
[12] S.J. Camargo, A. Robertson, A. Barnston, and M. Ghil.
Clustering of eastern north pacific tropical cyclone
tracks: Enso and mjo effects. Geochemistry Geophysics
Geosystems, 9(6):1-23, 2008.
[13] J. P. Donnelly and J. d. Woodruff. Intense hurricane
activity over the past 5,000 years controlled by el nio
and the west african monsoon. Nature, 447:465-468,
2007.
[14] J. Molinari, D. Knight, M. Dickinson, D. Vollaro, and
S. Skubis. Potential vorticity, easterly waves, and eastern
pacific tropical cyclogenesis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 125:2699-
2708, 1997.
[15] A. Aiyyer and J. Molinari. Mjo ad tropical cyclogenesis
in the gulf of mexico and eastern pacific: Case study
and numerical modelling. Journal of the Atmospheric
Sciences, 65, 2008.
[16] C. Zhang. Madden-julian oscillation. Reviews of Geophysics,
43:36, 2005.
[17] F. Biondi, A. Gerhunov, and D. Cayan. North pacific
decadal climate variability since 1661. Journal of Climate,
14, 2001.
[18] J. Perez-Peraza, Velasco V.M., and Libin I. Influence of
cosmophysical phenomena and african dust on hurricanes
genesis. In Anthony Lupo, editor, Reacent Hurricane Research
-Climate, Dynamics and Societal Impacts, pages
41-76. inTech, 2011.
@article{"International Journal of Earth, Energy and Environmental Sciences:57425", author = "Marni Pazos and Blanca Mendoza and Luis Gimeno", title = "Tropical Cyclogenesis Response to Solar Activity in the Eastern Pacific Region", abstract = "The relationship between tropical cyclogenesis and solar activity is addressed in this paper, analyzing the relationship between important parameters in the evolution of tropical cyclones as the CAPE, wind shear and relative vorticity, and the Dst geomagnetic index as a parameter of solar activity. The apparent relationship between all this phenomena has a different response depending on the phase of the solar cycles.
", keywords = "tropical cyclones, solar-earth relationship, climate change.", volume = "6", number = "6", pages = "343-4", }
