On Some Signs of a Recurrent Climate Scenario Advent
Since atmosphere pressure field is an actual envoy of
climatic signal the atmospheric Highs and Lows should be attributed
to the key active focal points within the ocean-atmosphere interplay
system. Here we were set a task to determine how the dynamics of
those centres of action relates to the climate change both on regional
and global scales. For this target the near-surface temperature and
atmospheric pressure differences between the Icelandic Low and the
Azores High were considered. The secular term of phase states of the
system under consideration was found divided into three
nonintersecting subsets. Each of that was put in consequence with
one of three climatic scenarios related to the periods of 1905-1935
(relatively warm phase), 1940-1970 (cold phase) and 1980-2000
(warm phase).
[1] Akasofu, S.-I. 2010. On the recovery from the Little Ice Age. Natural
Science, 2(11), 1211-1224. doi: 10.4236/ns.2010.210149.
[2] Allan, R. J. and Ansell, T. J. 2006. A new globally-complete monthly
historical gridded mean sea level pressure data set (HadSLP2): 1850-
2004. Journal of Climate, 19, 5816-5842.
[3] Brohan, P., Kennedy, J. J., Harris, I., Tett, S. F. B., and Jones, P. D.
2006. Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature
changes: a new dataset from 1850. J. Geophys. Res, 111(D12)106,
doi:10.1029/2005JD006548.
[4] Bronnemann, S., Stickler, A., Griesser, T., Fischer, A.M. Grant, A.,
Ewen, T., Zhou, T., Schraner, M., Rozanov, E., Peter, T. 2009.
Variability of large-scale atmospheric circulation indices for the
Northern Hemisphere during the past 100 years. Meteorologische
Zeitschrift. 18 (4), 379-396.
[5] Byshev, V. I. 2003. Synoptic and Large-Scale Variability of Ocean and
Atmosphere. Nauka, Moscow [in Russian]. 344 pp.
[6] Byshev, V. I., Neiman, V. G. and Romanov, Yu. A. 2006. On
Pronounced Discrepancies of Surface Air Temperature Large-Scale
Variation on Continents and over Oceans. Okeanologiya, 46(2). 165-
177.
[7] Byshev, V. I., Neiman, V. G., Romanov, Yu. A. and Serykh, I. V. 2009.
On the spatial nonuniformity of some parameters of the recent climate
global variations. Doklady Earth Sciences, 426. 705-709.
[8] Gill, A. E. 1982. Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics. Academic Press.
London. England, Cambridge (Mir, Moscow, 1986.2. 415 p).
[9] IPCC. 2007. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis.
Contribution of WGI to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC. Ed.
by S. Solomon, D. Qin, and M. Manning, et al. Cambridge University
Press, Cambridge and New-York. 996.
[10] Knight, J. R. 2005. A signature of persistent natural thermohaline
circulation cycles in observed climate. Geophys. Res. Lett. 32, L20708.
doi:10.1029/2005GL024233.
[11] Kouraev, A.V., Gretaux, G.-F., Lebedev, S.A., Kostianoy, A.G.
Ginzburg, A.I., Sheremet, N.A., Mamedov, R., Zakharova, E.A.,
Roblou, L., Lyard, F., Calmant, S., Berge-Nguyen, M. 2011. Satellite
Altimetry applications in the Caspian Sea. In: Coastal Altimetry. (eds.
Vignudelli, S., Kostianoy, A. G., Cipollini, P., Benveniste, J. Springer-
Verlag). Berlin. Heidelberg. 331-366. doi:101007-978-3-642-12796-
013.
[12] Lebedev, S. A. and Kostianoy, A. G. 2008. Integrated using of Satellite
Altimetry in Investigation of meteorological, hydrological and
hydrodynamic regime of the Caspian Sea. Journal of terrestrial
atmospheric and oceanic Sciences. 19(1-2), 71-82
[13] Panin, G. N. 2009. On Climate Changes in Polar zones of the Earth in
the twentieth and twenty first centuries. Doklady Earth Sciences. 427(2).
988-992.
[14] Tsonis, A.A., Swanson, K., Kravtsov, S. 2007. A new dynamical
mechanism for major climate shifts. Geophys. Res. Lett. 34. L13705.
doi:10.1029/2007GL030288,2007.
[15] Vakulenko, N.V., Monin, A.S., Shishkov, Yu. A. 2000. General
Atmospheric Circulation Variations in the XXth Century. Doklady Earth
Sciences. 371A(3). 579-584.
[16] Wang, G., Swanson, K.L., Tsonis, A.A. 2009. The Pacemaker of major
Climate Shifts. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36. L07708.
doi:10.1029/2008GL036874,2009.
[1] Akasofu, S.-I. 2010. On the recovery from the Little Ice Age. Natural
Science, 2(11), 1211-1224. doi: 10.4236/ns.2010.210149.
[2] Allan, R. J. and Ansell, T. J. 2006. A new globally-complete monthly
historical gridded mean sea level pressure data set (HadSLP2): 1850-
2004. Journal of Climate, 19, 5816-5842.
[3] Brohan, P., Kennedy, J. J., Harris, I., Tett, S. F. B., and Jones, P. D.
2006. Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature
changes: a new dataset from 1850. J. Geophys. Res, 111(D12)106,
doi:10.1029/2005JD006548.
[4] Bronnemann, S., Stickler, A., Griesser, T., Fischer, A.M. Grant, A.,
Ewen, T., Zhou, T., Schraner, M., Rozanov, E., Peter, T. 2009.
Variability of large-scale atmospheric circulation indices for the
Northern Hemisphere during the past 100 years. Meteorologische
Zeitschrift. 18 (4), 379-396.
[5] Byshev, V. I. 2003. Synoptic and Large-Scale Variability of Ocean and
Atmosphere. Nauka, Moscow [in Russian]. 344 pp.
[6] Byshev, V. I., Neiman, V. G. and Romanov, Yu. A. 2006. On
Pronounced Discrepancies of Surface Air Temperature Large-Scale
Variation on Continents and over Oceans. Okeanologiya, 46(2). 165-
177.
[7] Byshev, V. I., Neiman, V. G., Romanov, Yu. A. and Serykh, I. V. 2009.
On the spatial nonuniformity of some parameters of the recent climate
global variations. Doklady Earth Sciences, 426. 705-709.
[8] Gill, A. E. 1982. Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics. Academic Press.
London. England, Cambridge (Mir, Moscow, 1986.2. 415 p).
[9] IPCC. 2007. Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis.
Contribution of WGI to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC. Ed.
by S. Solomon, D. Qin, and M. Manning, et al. Cambridge University
Press, Cambridge and New-York. 996.
[10] Knight, J. R. 2005. A signature of persistent natural thermohaline
circulation cycles in observed climate. Geophys. Res. Lett. 32, L20708.
doi:10.1029/2005GL024233.
[11] Kouraev, A.V., Gretaux, G.-F., Lebedev, S.A., Kostianoy, A.G.
Ginzburg, A.I., Sheremet, N.A., Mamedov, R., Zakharova, E.A.,
Roblou, L., Lyard, F., Calmant, S., Berge-Nguyen, M. 2011. Satellite
Altimetry applications in the Caspian Sea. In: Coastal Altimetry. (eds.
Vignudelli, S., Kostianoy, A. G., Cipollini, P., Benveniste, J. Springer-
Verlag). Berlin. Heidelberg. 331-366. doi:101007-978-3-642-12796-
013.
[12] Lebedev, S. A. and Kostianoy, A. G. 2008. Integrated using of Satellite
Altimetry in Investigation of meteorological, hydrological and
hydrodynamic regime of the Caspian Sea. Journal of terrestrial
atmospheric and oceanic Sciences. 19(1-2), 71-82
[13] Panin, G. N. 2009. On Climate Changes in Polar zones of the Earth in
the twentieth and twenty first centuries. Doklady Earth Sciences. 427(2).
988-992.
[14] Tsonis, A.A., Swanson, K., Kravtsov, S. 2007. A new dynamical
mechanism for major climate shifts. Geophys. Res. Lett. 34. L13705.
doi:10.1029/2007GL030288,2007.
[15] Vakulenko, N.V., Monin, A.S., Shishkov, Yu. A. 2000. General
Atmospheric Circulation Variations in the XXth Century. Doklady Earth
Sciences. 371A(3). 579-584.
[16] Wang, G., Swanson, K.L., Tsonis, A.A. 2009. The Pacemaker of major
Climate Shifts. Geophys. Res. Lett. 36. L07708.
doi:10.1029/2008GL036874,2009.
@article{"International Journal of Earth, Energy and Environmental Sciences:61049", author = "Vladimir I. Byshev and Victor G. Neiman and Yuri A. Romanov and Ilya V. Serykh", title = "On Some Signs of a Recurrent Climate Scenario Advent", abstract = "Since atmosphere pressure field is an actual envoy of
climatic signal the atmospheric Highs and Lows should be attributed
to the key active focal points within the ocean-atmosphere interplay
system. Here we were set a task to determine how the dynamics of
those centres of action relates to the climate change both on regional
and global scales. For this target the near-surface temperature and
atmospheric pressure differences between the Icelandic Low and the
Azores High were considered. The secular term of phase states of the
system under consideration was found divided into three
nonintersecting subsets. Each of that was put in consequence with
one of three climatic scenarios related to the periods of 1905-1935
(relatively warm phase), 1940-1970 (cold phase) and 1980-2000
(warm phase).", keywords = "Climate change, climatic scenario, fields of environmental characteristics, North Atlantic region.", volume = "7", number = "6", pages = "376-5", }
