Analysis of Possible Draught Size of Container Vessels on the Lower Danube
Presented article outlines a rationale, why it is
necessary to develop competence about infrastructure risk in water
transport. Climate changes are evident and require special attention
and global monitoring. Current risk assessment methods for Inland
waterway transport just consider some dramatic events. We present a
new method for the assessment of risk and vulnerability of inland
waterway transport where river depth represents a crucial part. The
analysis of water level changes in the lower Danube was done for two
significant periods (1965-1979 and 1998-2012).
[1] Doubrovsky M., “Ukrainian and Russian waterways and the
development of European transport corridors”, European transport -
Inter. J. of Transport Economics, Engineering and Law, vol. 30 no. 10,
pp. 14-36, 2005.
[2] Arief A., Rajagopalan S., Iftekhar A. K., “Supply Chain Risk
Identification Using a HAZOP-Based Approach”, AIChE Journal, vol.
55, no. 6, pp. 1447-1463, 2009.
[3] European Commission, “European Union Strategy for the Danube
Region - Action Plan”, European Commission, Brussels, 2010.
[4] European Commission, “White Paper: European transport policy for
2010: time to decide”, European Commission, Luxembourg, 2001.
[5] Sulaiman O., Kader A.S.A., Saharuddin A.H., “Collision Aversion
Model for Inland Water Transportation: Cost Benefit Analysis Model”,
Inter. J. of Trade, Economics and Finance, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 24-31, 2011
[6] Kaplan S., “The words of risk analysis”, Risk Analysis, vol. 17, no.4, pp.
407-417, 1997.
[7] Bačkalić, T., Maslarić, M., “Navigation Conditions and the Risk
Management in Inland Waterway Transport on the Middle Danube”, Int.
J. Transport Problems, vol. 4, no. 7, pp. 13-24, 2012.
[8] Standards Australia, Standards New Zealand, “Joint Australian New
Zealand International Standard: Risk management – Principles and
guidelines (Superseding AS /NZS 4360:2004)”, Standards Australia,
2009, Australia. (accessed 14.08.2013 via web address:
http://www.sherg.org/31000.pdf)
[9] Norrman A., Lindroth R., “Categorization of Supply Chain Risk and
Risk Management” in “Supply chain risk”, Brindley C. (Ed.), Ashgate
Publishing Limited, 2004.
[10] Jonkeren O., Rietveld P., Ommeren Jos. van, “Climate Change and
Inland Waterway Transport: Welfare Effects of Low Water Levels on
the river Rhine”, Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, vol. 3, no.
41, pp. 387-411, 2007
[11] Jonkeren O., Jourquin B., Rietveld P., “Modal-split effects of climate
change: The effect of low water levels on the competitive position of
inland waterway transport in the river Rhine area”, Transportation
Research Part A: Policy and Practice, vol. 45, issue 10, December
2011, pp. 1007–1019.
[12] Škiljaica, V., Bačkalić, T., “Navigation characteristics of the Danube
and its influence on the main dimensions of the river-sea ships”, in Proc.
12th International Congress of the International Maritime Association of
the Mediterranean (IMAM 2005) – Maritime Transportation and
Exploitation of Ocean and Coastal Resources, Lisbon, Portugal, 2005,
pp. 1401-1408.
[1] Doubrovsky M., “Ukrainian and Russian waterways and the
development of European transport corridors”, European transport -
Inter. J. of Transport Economics, Engineering and Law, vol. 30 no. 10,
pp. 14-36, 2005.
[2] Arief A., Rajagopalan S., Iftekhar A. K., “Supply Chain Risk
Identification Using a HAZOP-Based Approach”, AIChE Journal, vol.
55, no. 6, pp. 1447-1463, 2009.
[3] European Commission, “European Union Strategy for the Danube
Region - Action Plan”, European Commission, Brussels, 2010.
[4] European Commission, “White Paper: European transport policy for
2010: time to decide”, European Commission, Luxembourg, 2001.
[5] Sulaiman O., Kader A.S.A., Saharuddin A.H., “Collision Aversion
Model for Inland Water Transportation: Cost Benefit Analysis Model”,
Inter. J. of Trade, Economics and Finance, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 24-31, 2011
[6] Kaplan S., “The words of risk analysis”, Risk Analysis, vol. 17, no.4, pp.
407-417, 1997.
[7] Bačkalić, T., Maslarić, M., “Navigation Conditions and the Risk
Management in Inland Waterway Transport on the Middle Danube”, Int.
J. Transport Problems, vol. 4, no. 7, pp. 13-24, 2012.
[8] Standards Australia, Standards New Zealand, “Joint Australian New
Zealand International Standard: Risk management – Principles and
guidelines (Superseding AS /NZS 4360:2004)”, Standards Australia,
2009, Australia. (accessed 14.08.2013 via web address:
http://www.sherg.org/31000.pdf)
[9] Norrman A., Lindroth R., “Categorization of Supply Chain Risk and
Risk Management” in “Supply chain risk”, Brindley C. (Ed.), Ashgate
Publishing Limited, 2004.
[10] Jonkeren O., Rietveld P., Ommeren Jos. van, “Climate Change and
Inland Waterway Transport: Welfare Effects of Low Water Levels on
the river Rhine”, Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, vol. 3, no.
41, pp. 387-411, 2007
[11] Jonkeren O., Jourquin B., Rietveld P., “Modal-split effects of climate
change: The effect of low water levels on the competitive position of
inland waterway transport in the river Rhine area”, Transportation
Research Part A: Policy and Practice, vol. 45, issue 10, December
2011, pp. 1007–1019.
[12] Škiljaica, V., Bačkalić, T., “Navigation characteristics of the Danube
and its influence on the main dimensions of the river-sea ships”, in Proc.
12th International Congress of the International Maritime Association of
the Mediterranean (IMAM 2005) – Maritime Transportation and
Exploitation of Ocean and Coastal Resources, Lisbon, Portugal, 2005,
pp. 1401-1408.
@article{"International Journal of Mechanical, Industrial and Aerospace Sciences:71040", author = "Todor Bačkalić and Marinko Maslarić and Milosav Georgijević and Sanja Bojić", title = "Analysis of Possible Draught Size of Container Vessels on the Lower Danube", abstract = "Presented article outlines a rationale, why it is
necessary to develop competence about infrastructure risk in water
transport. Climate changes are evident and require special attention
and global monitoring. Current risk assessment methods for Inland
waterway transport just consider some dramatic events. We present a
new method for the assessment of risk and vulnerability of inland
waterway transport where river depth represents a crucial part. The
analysis of water level changes in the lower Danube was done for two
significant periods (1965-1979 and 1998-2012).", keywords = "Container ship, draught, probability, the Danube.", volume = "9", number = "7", pages = "1385-6", }
